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CDWCDW CorporationSell5.0·$134.89+1.39%
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CDW Corporation (CDW) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Technology · Information Technology Services

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $134.89 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: US business (~90% of net sales) (90.0%).

CDW is a multi-brand IT solutions provider selling hardware, software, and services to 250,000+ business, government, education, and healthcare customers in the US, UK, and Canada. Hardware (72%), software (19%), and services (9%) generated $22.4B revenue in 2025; ~90% from US... Read more

$134.89+2.8% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#26 of 34 Information Technology Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield5.20%
IncomeYield1.89%(5y avg 1.25%)Payout30.57%sustainable
Stop $125.37Target $138.63(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$147.30+9.2%10 analysts
$138.63our TP
$134.89price
$147.30mean
$123
$195

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $134.89 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: US business (~90% of net sales) (90.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 78. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 58d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202658d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: US business (~90% of net sales) (90.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.2
P/E (Fwd)11.4
Mkt Cap$17.0B
EV/EBITDA11.4
Profit Mgn4.7%
ROE44.2%
Rev Growth9.2%
Beta0.99
Dividend1.89%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C2.12bearish
IV64%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicUS business (~90% of net sales)90%
    10-K Item 1: 'our US business, which represents approximately 90% of our Net sales'
  • MEDIUMSupplierIngram Micro and TD SYNNEX (>25% of total purchases)
    10-K Item 1A: 'purchases from two wholesale distributors, Ingram Micro and TD SYNNEX, represent over 25% of our total purchases'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-27Item 5.02LOW
    Sanjay Mehrotra (director) informed CDW he will not stand for re-election at the 2026 Annual Meeting. Decision not related to any disagreement with the Company. No successor required (board seat).
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.5
Bollinger
2.0
52w Position
4.3
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 58d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
78 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $96.55Resistance $141.46

Price Targets

$125
$139
A.Upside+2.8%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (58d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CDW stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $134.89 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: US business (~90% of net sales) (90.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 78. Prior stop was $125.37. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

What is the CDW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $138.63 (+2.8% upside). Prior stop was $125.37. Stop-loss: $125.37.

What are the risks of investing in CDW?

Concentration risk — Geographic: US business (~90% of net sales) (90.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7).

Is CDW overvalued or undervalued?

CDW Corporation trades at a P/E of 16.2 (forward 11.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CDW?

17 analysts cover CDW with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $147.

What does CDW Corporation do?CDW is a multi-brand IT solutions provider selling hardware, software, and services to 250,000+ business, government,...

CDW is a multi-brand IT solutions provider selling hardware, software, and services to 250,000+ business, government, education, and healthcare customers in the US, UK, and Canada. Hardware (72%), software (19%), and services (9%) generated $22.4B revenue in 2025; ~90% from US operations across five channels each generating $1.7B+.

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