Value
6.9/10data confidence 83%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 3.1 |
| P/S | 6.8 |
| Fwd P/E | 8.4 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 6.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 13.9x
- ▸PEG: 0.49
BOX · Why this verdict
Why Box (BOX) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score4.8/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
4.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROA | 0.0 |
| Gross margin | 9.9 |
| Op margin | 0.0 |
| Net margin | 0.0 |
| Current ratio | 3.0 |
| FCF quality | 8.0 |
| Moat | 5.8 |
| Rule of 40 | 5.5 |
| Piotroski F | 4.4 |
- ▸FCF-positive despite GAAP loss (FCF margin 23%, FCF yield 4.4%)
Growth
5.9/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 5.9 |
Momentum
1.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.0 |
| MACD | 0.0 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 1.0 |
| Volume | 0.0 |
- ▸Capitulation risk (RSI 29, below 200MA)
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.3%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
7.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 7.1 |
| Analyst rating | 6.8 |
| Price target | 8.5 |
- ▸LLM news sentiment: +0.41 (n=4)
- ▸Light analyst coverage (8.0) — signal dampened
- ▸Analyst upside: 29%
Insider
3.9/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 4.5 |
| insider conviction | 2.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Modest insider selling — $3,276,867 (0.095% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
2.1/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 4.0 |
| quality rank | 0.3 |
| growth rank | 4.1 |
Technical
5.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 6.9 |
| support resistance | 7.8 |
| 52w position | 2.9 |
Risk (lower is worse)
3.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 3.3 |
| days to cover | 4.7 |
| volatility | 5.0 |
| put call | 0.0 |
| implied vol | 5.4 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 5.3 |
| debt equity | 0.0 |
| news risk | 6.0 |
- ▸Elevated put/call: 6.09
- ▸Above max pain $17
Catalyst
7.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 3.5 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 9.1 |
| news activity | 8.0 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/0M
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (7)
- ASYMMETRY:2.1>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:62d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:1.0<4.5
- DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
2.09
Upside
+12.6%
Downside
6.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupFALLING_KNIFE — Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 29, MACD bearish
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — Beta 1.41>1.3, MCap $3.5B<$5B
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 3.3 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Sentiment at 7.4) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( MOMENTUM:1.0<4.5, DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is 2.09 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Sentiment at 7.4, Catalyst at 7.1, and Value at 6.9; the weakest are Momentum at 1.0, Peer rank at 2.1, and Risk (lower is worse) at 3.6. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 2.09 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.