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Brookfield Renewable Corporatio (BEPC) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Renewable

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $36.36: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.00; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Brookfield Renewable Corporation owns and operates a portfolio of renewable power and sustainable solution assets. The company's portfolio consists of hydroelectric, wind, utility-scale solar, distributed generation, pumped storage, carbon capture and storage, cogeneration,... Read more

$36.36+14.2% A.UpsideScore 3.9/10#10 of 10 Utilities - Renewable
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield33.50%
IncomeYield4.31%(5y avg 4.16%)Payout108.09%at-risk
Stop $33.81Target $41.54(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$41.00+12.8%6 analysts
$41.54our TP
$36.36price
$41.00mean
$33
$50

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $36.36: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.00; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 3.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Brookfield Renewable Corporatio

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-1.9% upside)
Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-25.2
Mkt Cap$6.6B
EV/EBITDA17.9
Profit Mgn-122.4%
ROE-47.8%
Rev Growth-2.6%
Beta1.13
Dividend4.31%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C3.00bearish
IV44%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -2.6% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.9
Declining revenue: -3%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
4.2
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
1.0
Value Rank
6.0

Unprofitable operations — net margin -122.4%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.7
Current Ratio
1.3
Moat
4.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Operating Margin
5.8
Fcf Quality
6.0
Gross Margin
7.7
FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 60%, FCF yield 33.5%)No competitive moat
GatesMomentum 4.0<4.5A.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
34 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $34.40Resistance $42.39

Price Targets

$34
$42
A.Upside+14.2%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.9% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 4.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-31 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BEPC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $36.36: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.00; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $33.81. Score 3.9/10, high confidence.

What is the BEPC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $41.54 (+14.2% upside). Prior stop was $33.81. Stop-loss: $33.81.

What are the risks of investing in BEPC?

Target reached (-1.9% upside); Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0).

Is BEPC overvalued or undervalued?

Brookfield Renewable Corporatio trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -25.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BEPC?

10 analysts cover BEPC with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $41.

What does Brookfield Renewable Corporatio do?Brookfield Renewable Corporation owns and operates a portfolio of renewable power and sustainable solution assets. The...

Brookfield Renewable Corporation owns and operates a portfolio of renewable power and sustainable solution assets. The company's portfolio consists of hydroelectric, wind, utility-scale solar, distributed generation, pumped storage, carbon capture and storage, cogeneration, biomass, and eFuels. Its operations consist of approximately 13,396 megawatts of installed hydroelectric, wind, utility-scale solar, and distributed energy and sustainable solutions capacity across North America, South America, and Europe. The company was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in New York, New York. Brookfield Renewable Corporation operates as a subsidiary of Brookfield Renewable Partners L.P.

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