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BEPCBrookfield Renewable CorporatioSell4.0·$33.53-0.24%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

The stock faces a convergence of three structural headwinds — business quality below the minimum acceptable floor, a death-cross technical setup with price below all moving averages, and three earnings misses in the past four quarters — that leave it poorly positioned for near-term recovery despite 8.5% headroom to the resistance target.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Below Minimum FloorStable
  • Death Cross Falling Knife SetupStable
  • Persistent Earnings Miss PatternImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Brookfield Renewable Corporatio (BEPC) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueShortHigh Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Renewable

Earnings in 5 days (2026-07-31). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.53: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.31; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Brookfield Renewable Corporation owns and operates a portfolio of renewable power and sustainable solution assets. The company's portfolio consists of hydroelectric, wind, utility-scale solar, distributed generation, pumped storage, carbon capture and storage, cogeneration,... Read more

$33.53+5.9% A.UpsideScore 4.0/10#12 of 12 Utilities - Renewable
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield36.32%
IncomeYield4.67%(5y avg 4.20%)Payout108.09%at-risk
Stop $31.37Target $35.52(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$40.83+21.8%6 analysts
$35.52our TP
$33.53price
$40.83mean
$50

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.53: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.31; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26

Recent Developments — Brookfield Renewable Corporatio

Generated 2026-07-27T14:03:01Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Jul 31, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-19.6
Mkt Cap$6.1B
EV/EBITDA17.4
Profit Mgn-122.4%
ROE-47.8%
Rev Growth-2.6%
Beta1.16
Dividend4.67%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C2.31bearish
IV45%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -2.6% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.9
Declining revenue: -3%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
1.6
Ma Position
2.2
Volume
2.8
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.9%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
0.9
Value Rank
5.5

Unprofitable operations — net margin -122.4%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.7
Current Ratio
1.3
Moat
4.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Operating Margin
5.8
Fcf Quality
6.0
Gross Margin
7.7
FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 60%, FCF yield 36.3%)No competitive moat
GatesMomentum 2.2<4.5A.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40SEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
31 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $32.10Resistance $38.35

Price Targets

$31
$36
A.Upside+5.9%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.9 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-31 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BEPC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.53: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.31; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $31.37. Score 4.0/10, high confidence.

What is the BEPC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $35.52 (+5.9% upside). Prior stop was $31.37. Stop-loss: $31.37.

What are the risks of investing in BEPC?

Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0).

Is BEPC overvalued or undervalued?

Brookfield Renewable Corporatio trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -19.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BEPC?

10 analysts cover BEPC with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $41.

What does Brookfield Renewable Corporatio do?Brookfield Renewable Corporation owns and operates a portfolio of renewable power and sustainable solution assets. The...

Brookfield Renewable Corporation owns and operates a portfolio of renewable power and sustainable solution assets. The company's portfolio consists of hydroelectric, wind, utility-scale solar, distributed generation, pumped storage, carbon capture and storage, cogeneration, biomass, and eFuels. Its operations consist of approximately 13,396 megawatts of installed hydroelectric, wind, utility-scale solar, and distributed energy and sustainable solutions capacity across North America, South America, and Europe. The company was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in New York, New York. Brookfield Renewable Corporation operates as a subsidiary of Brookfield Renewable Partners L.P.

Related stocks: MWH (SOLV Energy, Inc.) · AXIA (AXIA Energia) · RNW (ReNew Energy Global plc) · FRVO (Fervo Energy Company) · CWEN (Clearway Energy, Inc.)
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