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BEPCBrookfield Renewable CorporatioSell4.9·$31.56
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Brookfield Renewable is a leveraged utility-sector renewable operator with strong free cash flow and a 5.4% dividend, but weak earnings delivery and a confirmed downtrend argue for waiting until after the November 4 earnings print.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Fcf And Dividend→Stable
  • Leverage Limits Quality↑Improving
  • Confirmed Downtrend Recovery Setup↑Improving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Brookfield Renewable Corporatio (BEPC) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueHigh Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Renewable

Sell if holding. At $31.56, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.6%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8).

Brookfield Renewable Corporation owns and operates a portfolio of renewable power and sustainable solution assets. The company's portfolio consists of hydroelectric, wind, utility-scale solar, distributed generation, pumped storage, carbon capture and storage, cogeneration,... Read more

$31.56+3.6% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#8 of 10 Utilities - Renewable
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield17.69%
IncomeYield5.10%(5y avg 4.18%)Payout108.09%at-risk
Stop $29.80Analyst target $32.69(−13% haircut)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst consensus$37.57+19.0%7 analysts with price targets
$32.69Analyst target
$31.56price
$37.57mean
$43

Sell if holding. At $31.56, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.6%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 71. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 4, 2026

Recent Developments — Brookfield Renewable Corporatio

Latest item Nov 4, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:59:09Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 2026Date unconfirmed· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Utilities): +1.0
Positive momentum
Risks
Thin upside margin: 3.6%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8)
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-66.4
Mkt Cap$5.9B
EV/EBITDA17.4
Profit Mgn-102.3%
ROE-45.5%
Rev Growth13.0%
Beta1.13
Dividend5.10%
Analysts with ratings9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.86neutral
IV38%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
1.1
52w Position
4.3

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
4.4
Value Rank
5.6

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.8
News Activity
7.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MDividend: 5.1%
GatesA.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 7.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
71 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $28.04Resistance $31.98

Price Targets

$30
$33
A.Upside+3.6%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (Date unconfirmed)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BEPC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $31.56, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.6%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 71. Prior stop was $29.80. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

What is the BEPC stock price target?

Analyst target: $32.69 (+3.6% upside). Prior stop was $29.80. Stop-loss: $29.80.

What are the risks of investing in BEPC?

Thin upside margin: 3.6%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5.

Is BEPC overvalued or undervalued?

Brookfield Renewable Corporatio trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -66.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BEPC?

9 analysts rate BEPC, with a consensus score of 2.4/5. 7 analysts publish price targets averaging $38.

What does Brookfield Renewable Corporatio do?Brookfield Renewable Corporation owns and operates a portfolio of renewable power and sustainable solution assets. The...

Brookfield Renewable Corporation owns and operates a portfolio of renewable power and sustainable solution assets. The company's portfolio consists of hydroelectric, wind, utility-scale solar, distributed generation, pumped storage, carbon capture and storage, cogeneration, biomass, and eFuels. Its operations consist of approximately 13,396 megawatts of installed hydroelectric, wind, utility-scale solar, and distributed energy and sustainable solutions capacity across North America, South America, and Europe. The company was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in New York, New York. Brookfield Renewable Corporation operates as a subsidiary of Brookfield Renewable Partners L.P.

Related stocks: RNW (ReNew Energy Global plc) · MWH (SOLV Energy, Inc.) · CWEN (Clearway Energy, Inc.) · ENIC (Enel Chile S.A.) · ENLT (Enlight Renewable Energy Ltd.)
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