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ATHMAutohome Inc.Buy Wait4.4·$22.67+0.58%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The shares screen as attractively valued at roughly 12.5x forward earnings and have delivered beats in three of the last four quarters, but a 28% revenue contraction and a confirmed 200-day moving average downtrend mean the underlying business has not yet demonstrated the growth needed to support a re-rating; with the price already above the near-term resistance target, the risk/reward is unfavorable.

Thesis pillars

  • Valuation Screen AttractiveStable
  • Earnings Delivery Mostly IntactStable
  • Revenue Contraction Structural HeadwindStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Autohome Inc. (ATHM) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitValueShortModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Internet Content & Information

Earnings in 3 days (2026-08-20). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $21.18. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $22.67. Engine's entry $21.18 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 4.4/10.

Autohome Inc. operates as an online destination for automobile consumers in the People's Republic of China. The company delivers interactive content and tools to automobile consumers through its websites, autohome.com.cn, che168.com, and ttpai.cn on PCs, mobile devices, mobile... Read more

$22.67-19.4% A.UpsideScore 4.4/10#35 of 35 Internet Content & Information
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield8.20%(5y avg 4.49%)Payout135.69%at-risk
Entry $21.18(support + ATR)Stop $20.19Target $23.10(resistance)A.R:R -2.4:1
Analyst target$21.00-7.4%11 analysts
$23.10our TP
$22.67price
$21.00mean
$17
$26

Wait for pullback to $21.18. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $22.67. Engine's entry $21.18 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 4.4/10. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-16
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 20, 20263d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak overall score: 4.4/10
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.4
P/E (Fwd)16.0
Mkt Cap$2.6B
EV/EBITDA-21.2
Profit Mgn18.0%
ROE4.3%
Rev Growth-27.9%
Beta0.23
Dividend8.20%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.40bearish
IV80%elevated
Max Pain$30+32.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -27.9% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Earnings Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -28%

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Macd
0.7
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.0
Ma Position
8.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-MA but MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5A.R:R -2.4=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
63 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $20.81Resistance $23.57

Price Targets

$20
$21
$23
A.Upside-19.4%
A.R:R-2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-19.4% upside)
! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk
! momentum at 2.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-20 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ATHM stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $21.18. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $22.67. Engine's entry $21.18 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 4.4/10. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $23.10 (+1.9%), stop $20.19 (−12.3%), A.R:R -2.4:1. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ATHM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $23.10 (-19.4% upside). Target $23.10 (+1.9%), stop $20.19 (−12.3%), A.R:R -2.4:1. Stop-loss: $20.19.

What are the risks of investing in ATHM?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 4.4/10; Weak growth.

Is ATHM overvalued or undervalued?

Autohome Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.4 (forward 16.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ATHM?

18 analysts cover ATHM with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $21.

What does Autohome Inc. do?Autohome Inc. operates as an online destination for automobile consumers in the People's Republic of China. The company...

Autohome Inc. operates as an online destination for automobile consumers in the People's Republic of China. The company delivers interactive content and tools to automobile consumers through its websites, autohome.com.cn, che168.com, and ttpai.cn on PCs, mobile devices, mobile applications, and mini apps. It also provides media services, including automaker advertising services and regional marketing campaigns; and leads generation services comprising dealer subscription services, advertising services for individual dealers, and used automobile listing and other platform-based services. In addition, the company offers Autohome Mall, an online transaction platform; and online bidding platform for used automobiles, as well as collects commissions for facilitating transactions of auto-financing and insurance products on its platform. The company was formerly known as Sequel Limited and changed its name to Autohome Inc. in October 2011. Autohome Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

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