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Associated Banc-Corp (ASB) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $27.17, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5).

Associated Banc-Corp is the largest bank holding company headquartered in Wisconsin, operating 184 branches in a four-state upper Midwest footprint (Wisconsin, Illinois, Minnesota, Missouri) serving 100+ communities. Revenue comes from net interest income and fees across three... Read more

$27.17+4.7% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#66 of 142 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield3.46%(5y avg 3.86%)Payout32.64%sustainable
Stop $26.25Target $28.45(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$30.90+13.7%10 analysts
$28.45our TP
$27.17price
$30.90mean
$34

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $27.17, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 65d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Associated Banc-Corp

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.5
P/E (Fwd)8.5
Mkt Cap$5.2B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn33.4%
ROE10.2%
Rev Growth12.2%
Beta0.79
Dividend3.46%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.59bullish
IV47%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.2
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.7
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5A.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 65d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $27.06Resistance $29.03

Price Targets

$26
$28
A.Upside+4.7%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.1% upside)
! Momentum score 2.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (65d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ASB stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $27.17, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $28.45 (+4.7%), stop $26.25 (−3.5%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ASB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $28.45 (+4.7% upside). Target $28.45 (+4.7%), stop $26.25 (−3.5%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Stop-loss: $26.25.

What are the risks of investing in ASB?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5); Negative momentum.

Is ASB overvalued or undervalued?

Associated Banc-Corp trades at a P/E of 9.5 (forward 8.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ASB?

14 analysts cover ASB with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $31.

What does Associated Banc-Corp do?Associated Banc-Corp is the largest bank holding company headquartered in Wisconsin, operating 184 branches in a...

Associated Banc-Corp is the largest bank holding company headquartered in Wisconsin, operating 184 branches in a four-state upper Midwest footprint (Wisconsin, Illinois, Minnesota, Missouri) serving 100+ communities. Revenue comes from net interest income and fees across three segments; Associated Bank (national charter) is regulated by the OCC, the holding company by the Federal Reserve.

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