Skip to main content

Amylyx Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (AMLX) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.92: Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 4.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Amylyx Pharmaceuticals is a clinical-stage pharmaceutical company developing avexitide (Phase 3 LUCIDITY trial complete for post-bariatric hypoglycemia, topline data expected Q3 2026) and AMX0035 (Phase 2 for Wolfram syndrome). The company withdrew its previous commercial... Read more

QualityF-score2 / 9FCF yield-4.84%
Stop $12.48Target $20.36(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.7:1
Analyst target$23.40+81.1%10 analysts
$20.36our TP
$12.92price
$23.40mean
$34

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.92: Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 4.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Amylyx Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Pipeline: avexitide
Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-10.5
Mkt Cap$1.5B
EV/EBITDA-7.6
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-63.3%
Rev Growth
Beta-0.10
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHpipelineavexitide
    10-K Item 1A: 'We currently depend heavily on the success of avexitide, our most advanced product candidate, and AMX0035.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
2.2
Moat
3.2
Current Ratio
5.0
Cash-burning (FCF negative)No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 20, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+11.0%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Volatile — 6.1% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Days To Cover
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Short Interest
1.8
Debt Equity
2.9
High short interest justified: 17%Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Value Rank
5.0
Growth Rank
5.0
GatesMomentum 1.2<4.5A.R:R 4.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 79d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
20 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $12.87Resistance $17.92

Price Targets

$12
$20
A.Upside+57.6%
A.R:R4.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 1.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (79d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AMLX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.92: Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 4.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $12.48. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AMLX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $20.36 (+57.2% upside). Prior stop was $12.48. Stop-loss: $12.48.

What are the risks of investing in AMLX?

Concentration risk — Pipeline: avexitide; Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0).

Is AMLX overvalued or undervalued?

Amylyx Pharmaceuticals, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -10.5). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AMLX?

18 analysts cover AMLX with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $23.

What does Amylyx Pharmaceuticals, Inc. do?Amylyx Pharmaceuticals is a clinical-stage pharmaceutical company developing avexitide (Phase 3 LUCIDITY trial complete...

Amylyx Pharmaceuticals is a clinical-stage pharmaceutical company developing avexitide (Phase 3 LUCIDITY trial complete for post-bariatric hypoglycemia, topline data expected Q3 2026) and AMX0035 (Phase 2 for Wolfram syndrome). The company withdrew its previous commercial product RELYVRIO for ALS in 2024 and currently has no approved products or revenue.

Related stocks: INDV (Indivior Pharmaceuticals, Inc.) · ANIP (ANI Pharmaceuticals, Inc.) · COLL (Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc.) · BCRX (BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc.) · LNTH (Lantheus Holdings, Inc.)