AGI Inc (AGBK) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the AGBK stock price target?

Take-profit $12.45 (+77.9% upside). Prior stop was $6.51.

Q: What are the risks of investing in AGBK?

Leverage penalty (D/E 3.4): -1.5; Weak growth; Negative momentum; Momentum score 3.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum.

Q: Is AGBK overvalued or undervalued?

AGI Inc trades at a P/E of 6.5 (forward 3.4). TrendMatrix value score: 9.7/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about AGBK?

7 analysts cover AGBK with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $14.

Q: What does AGI Inc do?

AGI Inc provides technology-powered specialized financial services in Brazil. The company offers social security benefits; severance fund benefits; public or private sector payrolls through secured lending solutions; and complementary banking, credit, and insurance products. It provides its services through cloud-based software, AI-driven automation, and mobile applications. The company was founded in 1999 and is based in Campinas, Brazil.

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 10 hr ago (May 20, 2026, 7:31 AM ET)

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $7.00 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.4): -1.5; Weak growth.

$7.00+77.9% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#123 of 142 Banks - Regional

QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield—

Stop $6.51Target $12.45(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 5.2:1

Analyst target$14.31+104.4%10 analysts

$12.45our TP

$7.00price

$14.31mean

$21

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — AGI Inc

Latest news

Itau BBA Downgrades AGI to Market Perform, Announces $9 Price Target — benzinga May 6, 2026 neutral
AGI Q1 EPS $0.26 Beats $0.25 Estimate, Sales $260.064M Miss $275.371M Estimate — benzinga May 5, 2026 neutral
Earnings Scheduled For May 5, 2026 — benzinga May 5, 2026 neutral
Reported Earlier, Agibank Secures R$2.5B In Second FIDC Structuring To Scale Secured Lending As Total Credit Portfolio H — benzinga Apr 28, 2026 positive

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards

V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.2 in RISK_OFF)

Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0

High-quality business

Risks

Leverage penalty (D/E 3.4): -1.5

Weak growth

Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)6.5

P/E (Fwd)3.4

Mkt Cap$1.1B

EV/EBITDA—

Profit Mgn24.0%

ROE—

Rev Growth-22.0%

Beta—

DividendNone

Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value9.715%1.45

Quality7.215%1.08

Growth0.015%0.00

Momentum3.410%0.34

Sentiment7.910%0.79

Insider Activity5.310%0.53

Peer Rank4.010%0.40

Technical Setup4.75%0.24

Risk Profile3.45%0.17

Catalyst5.05%0.25

Overall (Σ contributions)5.25

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Revenue shrinking — -22.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth

0.0

Earnings Growth

0.0

Declining revenue: -22%

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv

1.0

Volume

1.9

Ma Position

2.5

Rsi

4.5

Macd

6.9

Volume distribution (falling OBV)

GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R 5.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

44 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MASupport $6.40Resistance $7.86

Price Targets

$12

A.Upside+77.9%

A.R:R5.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for AGBK.

The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is AGBK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $7.00 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.4): -1.5; Weak growth. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $6.51. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AGBK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.45 (+77.9% upside). Prior stop was $6.51. Stop-loss: $6.51.

What are the risks of investing in AGBK?

Leverage penalty (D/E 3.4): -1.5; Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is AGBK overvalued or undervalued?

AGI Inc trades at a P/E of 6.5 (forward 3.4). TrendMatrix value score: 9.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AGBK?

7 analysts cover AGBK with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $14.

What does AGI Inc do?AGI Inc provides technology-powered specialized financial services in Brazil. The company offers social security...

AGI Inc provides technology-powered specialized financial services in Brazil. The company offers social security benefits; severance fund benefits; public or private sector payrolls through secured lending solutions; and complementary banking, credit, and insurance products. It provides its services through cloud-based software, AI-driven automation, and mobile applications. The company was founded in 1999 and is based in Campinas, Brazil.