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First Majestic Silver Corp. (AG) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Silver

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $19.46 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 9.7): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

First Majestic Silver Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of mineral properties in North America. The company explores for silver and gold deposits. Its projects include the San Dimas silver/gold mine covering an area of approximately... Read more

$19.46+15.9% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#2 of 3 Silver
Stop $18.21Target $22.52(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$26.50+36.2%2 analysts
$22.52our TP
$19.46price
$26.50mean
$30

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $19.46 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 9.7): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 9.7): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)55.7
P/E (Fwd)16.8
Mkt Cap$9.3B
EV/EBITDA14.9
Profit Mgn13.1%
ROE9.3%
Rev Growth169.2%
Beta2.14
Dividend0.12%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.93neutral
IV83%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
2.3
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 11d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $18.77Resistance $23.30

Price Targets

$18
$23
A.Upside+15.7%
A.R:R1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-12 (11d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $19.46 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 9.7): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $18.21. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $22.52 (+15.9% upside). Prior stop was $18.21. Stop-loss: $18.21.

What are the risks of investing in AG?

Leverage penalty (D/E 9.7): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Negative momentum.

Is AG overvalued or undervalued?

First Majestic Silver Corp. trades at a P/E of 55.7 (forward 16.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AG?

13 analysts cover AG with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $27.

What does First Majestic Silver Corp. do?First Majestic Silver Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of mineral properties...

First Majestic Silver Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of mineral properties in North America. The company explores for silver and gold deposits. Its projects include the San Dimas silver/gold mine covering an area of approximately 71,867 hectares located in Durango State, Mexico; the Santa Elena silver/gold mine that covers an area of approximately 102,244 hectares located in Sonora State, Mexico; the Los Gatos Silver Mine covering an area of approximately 103,000 hectares located in Chihuahua, Mexico; and the La Encantada silver mine that covers an area of approximately 4,076 hectares located in Coahuila State, Mexico. The company was formerly known as First Majestic Resource Corp. and changed its name to First Majestic Silver Corp. in November 2006. First Majestic Silver Corp. was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

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