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AGFirst Majestic Silver Corp.Buy Wait6.7·$14.10
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

First Majestic Silver pairs high quality, 57% growth and attractive valuation with a broken price trend, 55% drawdown and two recent earnings misses, so the setup depends on a momentum turn.

Thesis pillars

  • Downtrend Death Cross Drawdown→Stable
  • High Quality Silver Producer→Stable
  • Strong Growth Attractive Valuation→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

First Majestic Silver Corp. (AG) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup · Sector Rotation edge

Buy WaitGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Silver

Earnings in 1 day (2026-11-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $13.40. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $14.10. Engine's entry $13.40 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum.

First Majestic Silver Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of mineral properties in North America. The company explores for silver and gold deposits. Its projects include the San Dimas silver/gold mine covering an area of approximately... Read more

$14.10+44.7% A.UpsideScore 6.7/10#1 of 6 Silver
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield11.15%
IncomeYield0.43%(5y avg 0.22%)Payout5.06%sustainable
Entry $13.40(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $12.46Target $20.40(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 4.5:1
Analyst consensus$24.00+70.2%2 analysts with price targets
$20.40our TP
$14.10price
$24.00mean
$26

Wait for pullback to $13.40. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $14.10. Engine's entry $13.40 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 39, MACD bearish. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 1d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 28, 2026

Recent Developments — First Majestic Silver Corp.

Latest item Oct 28, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:29:27Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 20261d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.6 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Negative momentum
Below 200-day MA

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.1
P/E (Fwd)14.2
Mkt Cap$7.0B
EV/EBITDA6.8
Profit Mgn21.2%
ROE13.4%
Rev Growth57.3%
Beta2.19
Dividend0.43%
Analysts with ratings13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C1.19bearish
IV79%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.5
Macd
2.8
Rsi
3.5
Volume
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 2.7<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 1d<=7dA.R:R 4.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Speculative
RSI
39 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $13.93Resistance $17.48

Price Targets

$12
$13
$20
A.Upside+44.7%
A.R:R4.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.8%
Max %1.6%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 1 day - binary event risk
! momentum at 2.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (1d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AG stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $13.40. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $14.10. Engine's entry $13.40 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 39, MACD bearish. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Target $20.40 (+44.7%), stop $12.46 (−13.2%), A.R:R 4.5:1. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $20.40 (+44.7% upside). Target $20.40 (+44.7%), stop $12.46 (−13.2%), A.R:R 4.5:1. Stop-loss: $12.46.

What are the risks of investing in AG?

Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum; Below 200-day MA.

Is AG overvalued or undervalued?

First Majestic Silver Corp. trades at a P/E of 20.1 (forward 14.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about AG?

13 analysts rate AG, with a consensus score of 4.1/5. 2 analysts publish price targets averaging $24.

What does First Majestic Silver Corp. do?First Majestic Silver Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of mineral properties...

First Majestic Silver Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of mineral properties in North America. The company explores for silver and gold deposits. Its projects include the San Dimas silver/gold mine covering an area of approximately 71,867 hectares located in Durango State, Mexico; the Santa Elena silver/gold mine that covers an area of approximately 102,244 hectares located in Sonora State, Mexico; the Los Gatos Silver Mine covering an area of approximately 103,000 hectares located in Chihuahua, Mexico; and the La Encantada silver mine that covers an area of approximately 4,076 hectares located in Coahuila State, Mexico. The company was formerly known as First Majestic Resource Corp. and changed its name to First Majestic Silver Corp. in November 2006. First Majestic Silver Corp. was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Related stocks: SVM (Silvercorp Metals Inc.) · AYA (Aya Gold & Silver Inc.) · EXK (Endeavour Silver Corporation) · NEWP (New Pacific Metals Corp.) · HSLV (Highlander Silver Corp.)
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