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First Majestic Silver Corp. (AG) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Temp Headwind edge

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Silver

Wait for pullback to $19.37. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $19.82. Engine's entry $19.37 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Leverage penalty (D/E 9.5): -1.5.

First Majestic Silver Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of mineral properties in North America. The company explores for silver and gold deposits. Its projects include the San Dimas silver/gold mine covering an area of approximately... Read more

$19.82+23.9% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#1 of 3 Silver
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.98%
IncomeYield0.19%(5y avg 0.26%)Payout3.86%sustainable
Entry $19.37(support + ATR)Stop $18.06Target $24.00(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1Setup A.R:R 3.5:1

Wait for pullback to $19.37. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $19.82. Engine's entry $19.37 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Leverage penalty (D/E 9.5): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the chart hasn't confirmed yet (PEG 0.00, quality 7.9/10, growth 10.0/10). Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — First Majestic Silver Corp.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:56:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.9 in RISK_OFF)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
High-quality business
Risks
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Leverage penalty (D/E 9.5): -1.5
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.9
P/E (Fwd)16.8
Mkt Cap$9.3B
EV/EBITDA11.1
Profit Mgn19.5%
ROE11.5%
Rev Growth95.4%
Beta2.10
Dividend0.19%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.72neutral
IV80%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.5
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 84d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $18.62Resistance $24.49

Price Targets

$18
$19
$24
A.Upside+21.1%
A.R:R0.0:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)3.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.6%
Max %1.1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! News modifier capped: WAIT cannot upgrade to NOW via sentiment alone
! Momentum score 2.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-13 (84d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AG stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $19.37. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $19.82. Engine's entry $19.37 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Leverage penalty (D/E 9.5): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the chart hasn't confirmed yet (PEG 0.00, quality 7.9/10, growth 10.0/10). Target $24.00 (+21.1%), stop $18.06 (−9.7%), Setup A.R:R 3.5:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $24.00 (+23.9% upside). Target $24.00 (+21.1%), stop $18.06 (−9.7%), Setup A.R:R 3.5:1. Stop-loss: $18.06.

What are the risks of investing in AG?

Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Leverage penalty (D/E 9.5): -1.5; Negative momentum.

Is AG overvalued or undervalued?

First Majestic Silver Corp. trades at a P/E of 31.9 (forward 16.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about AG?

13 analysts cover AG with a consensus score of 4.0/5.

What does First Majestic Silver Corp. do?First Majestic Silver Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of mineral properties...

First Majestic Silver Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of mineral properties in North America. The company explores for silver and gold deposits. Its projects include the San Dimas silver/gold mine covering an area of approximately 71,867 hectares located in Durango State, Mexico; the Santa Elena silver/gold mine that covers an area of approximately 102,244 hectares located in Sonora State, Mexico; the Los Gatos Silver Mine covering an area of approximately 103,000 hectares located in Chihuahua, Mexico; and the La Encantada silver mine that covers an area of approximately 4,076 hectares located in Coahuila State, Mexico. The company was formerly known as First Majestic Resource Corp. and changed its name to First Majestic Silver Corp. in November 2006. First Majestic Silver Corp. was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

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