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AGFirst Majestic Silver Corp.Buy Wait6.5·$19.40+2.65%
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First Majestic Silver Corp. (AG) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Silver

Wait for pullback to $18.45. At $19.40 the A.R:R is 1.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $18.45 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Leverage penalty (D/E 9.5): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

First Majestic Silver Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of mineral properties in North America. The company explores for silver and gold deposits. Its projects include the San Dimas silver/gold mine covering an area of approximately... Read more

$19.40+23.8% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#2 of 3 Silver
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.95%
IncomeYield0.19%(5y avg 0.26%)Payout3.86%sustainable
Entry $18.45(5% below current)Stop $17.16Target $22.84(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.2:1Setup A.R:R 3.4:1
Analyst target$26.88+38.5%2 analysts
$22.84our TP
$19.40price
$26.88mean
$31

Wait for pullback to $18.45. At $19.40 the A.R:R is 1.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $18.45 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Leverage penalty (D/E 9.5): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Growth is outpacing valuation and the technical setup has confirmed a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.00, quality 7.9/10, growth 10.0/10). | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_NOW → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 57d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 13, 202657d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 9.5): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)32.0
P/E (Fwd)17.1
Mkt Cap$9.3B
EV/EBITDA11.2
Profit Mgn19.5%
ROE11.5%
Rev Growth95.4%
Beta2.07
Dividend0.19%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.40bullish
IV83%elevated
Max Pain$32+64.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
2.5
Quality Rank
6.7

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
1.1
Surprise Avg
1.9
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.2
Earnings concerns: 1B/2MDividend: 19.0%

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
2.1
Support Resistance
3.3
Bollinger
4.4
Gap
5.0
GatesA.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 57d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $15.62Resistance $21.27

Price Targets

$17
$18
$23
A.Upside+17.7%
A.R:R1.2:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)3.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: STRONG_BUY_NOW → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! asymmetry at 1.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-13 (57d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AG stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $18.45. At $19.40 the A.R:R is 1.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $18.45 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Leverage penalty (D/E 9.5): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Growth is outpacing valuation and the technical setup has confirmed a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.00, quality 7.9/10, growth 10.0/10). | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_NOW → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $22.84 (+17.7%), stop $17.16 (−13.1%), Setup A.R:R 3.4:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $22.84 (+23.8% upside). Target $22.84 (+17.7%), stop $17.16 (−13.1%), Setup A.R:R 3.4:1. Stop-loss: $17.16.

What are the risks of investing in AG?

Leverage penalty (D/E 9.5): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is AG overvalued or undervalued?

First Majestic Silver Corp. trades at a P/E of 32.0 (forward 17.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about AG?

13 analysts cover AG with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $27.

What does First Majestic Silver Corp. do?First Majestic Silver Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of mineral properties...

First Majestic Silver Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of mineral properties in North America. The company explores for silver and gold deposits. Its projects include the San Dimas silver/gold mine covering an area of approximately 71,867 hectares located in Durango State, Mexico; the Santa Elena silver/gold mine that covers an area of approximately 102,244 hectares located in Sonora State, Mexico; the Los Gatos Silver Mine covering an area of approximately 103,000 hectares located in Chihuahua, Mexico; and the La Encantada silver mine that covers an area of approximately 4,076 hectares located in Coahuila State, Mexico. The company was formerly known as First Majestic Resource Corp. and changed its name to First Majestic Silver Corp. in November 2006. First Majestic Silver Corp. was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Related stocks: SVM (Silvercorp Metals Inc.) · EXK (Endeavour Silver Corporation) · IAG (Iamgold Corporation) · AEM (Agnico Eagle Mines Limited) · ORLA (Orla Mining Ltd.)
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