Skip to main content
AGFirst Majestic Silver Corp.Buy Wait6.6·$16.39-0.36%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

First Majestic Silver shows 95% year-over-year revenue growth, exceptional free cash flow conversion, and an attractively valued multiple with 42% analyst upside, but high leverage at a debt-to-equity of 9.5 and a spotty earnings delivery record require caution before building a full position.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation With Analyst UpsideImproving
  • Exceptional Revenue GrowthStable
  • Exceptional Cash ConversionStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

First Majestic Silver Corp. (AG) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitGrowthModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Silver

Earnings in 3 days (2026-07-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $15.59. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $16.39. Engine's entry $15.59 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

First Majestic Silver Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of mineral properties in North America. The company explores for silver and gold deposits. Its projects include the San Dimas silver/gold mine covering an area of approximately... Read more

$16.39+26.4% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#2 of 6 Silver
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield8.05%
IncomeYield0.22%(5y avg 0.26%)Payout3.86%sustainable
Entry $15.59(support + ATR)Stop $14.66Target $20.61(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.2:1
Analyst target$24.25+48.0%2 analysts
$20.61our TP
$16.39price
$24.25mean
$26

Wait for pullback to $15.59. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $16.39. Engine's entry $15.59 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 20263d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
No bear case signals

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.6
P/E (Fwd)16.5
Mkt Cap$8.1B
EV/EBITDA9.6
Profit Mgn19.5%
ROE11.5%
Rev Growth95.4%
Beta2.11
Dividend0.22%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWide

Options Flow

P/C2.22bearish
IV89%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
4.5
Quality Rank
5.0
GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.2>=4.5A.R:R 2.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $15.11Resistance $18.28

Price Targets

$15
$16
$21
A.Upside+26.4%
A.R:R2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:3d<=7d

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AG stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $15.59. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $16.39. Engine's entry $15.59 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $20.61 (+25.7%), stop $14.66 (−11.8%), A.R:R 2.2:1. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $20.61 (+26.4% upside). Target $20.61 (+25.7%), stop $14.66 (−11.8%), A.R:R 2.2:1. Stop-loss: $14.66.

Is AG overvalued or undervalued?

First Majestic Silver Corp. trades at a P/E of 27.6 (forward 16.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about AG?

13 analysts cover AG with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $24.

What does First Majestic Silver Corp. do?First Majestic Silver Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of mineral properties...

First Majestic Silver Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of mineral properties in North America. The company explores for silver and gold deposits. Its projects include the San Dimas silver/gold mine covering an area of approximately 71,867 hectares located in Durango State, Mexico; the Santa Elena silver/gold mine that covers an area of approximately 102,244 hectares located in Sonora State, Mexico; the Los Gatos Silver Mine covering an area of approximately 103,000 hectares located in Chihuahua, Mexico; and the La Encantada silver mine that covers an area of approximately 4,076 hectares located in Coahuila State, Mexico. The company was formerly known as First Majestic Resource Corp. and changed its name to First Majestic Silver Corp. in November 2006. First Majestic Silver Corp. was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Related stocks: SVM (Silvercorp Metals Inc.) · AYA (Aya Gold & Silver Inc.) · EXK (Endeavour Silver Corporation) · NEWP (New Pacific Metals Corp.) · HSLV (Highlander Silver Corp.)
Home Stocks AG

Latest news

Latest News

GuruFocus61d ago
GuruFocus61d ago
Yahoo Finance33d agoAnalyst
GuruFocus33d ago
Simplywall.st5d ago
Stocktwits5d ago
Zacks Investment Research5d ago
GuruFocus5d ago
WTAJ68d ago
TradingKey68d ago
富途牛牛68d ago
MarketBeat68d ago
TipRanks68d ago
GuruFocus40d ago
TradingKey40d ago
Kalkine Media40d ago
Simplywall.st40d ago
Investing.com75d ago
TradingView75d agoAnalyst
Yahoo Finance75d ago
Loading more...