ZTO Express (Cayman) (ZTO) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Reported EPS
- $3.79
- Estimate
- $3.41
- Surprise
- +11.3%
- Score at report (before → after)
- 6.2 → 6.4/10
Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.
How the report landed
ZTO Express (Cayman) (ZTO) beat the $3.41 estimate with diluted EPS of $3.79 — a large 11.3% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (6.2/10) to Hold at 6.4/10 after the report.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates ZTO Hold at 6.8/10.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +11.3% surprise compares with a +8.6% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-18.
What supports the rating
- Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
- Attractive valuation
What argues against it
- Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
- Negative news sentiment (-1.00)
- Negative momentum
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $20.91
- Price target
- $25.70
- Stop
- $19.97
- Upside to target
- +22.9%
- Reward-to-risk
- 4.6:1
The stock trades at 11.0× trailing but 9.3× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Risk check: RSI 20 — a level conventionally read as oversold.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-04 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
ZTO at TrendMatrix's latest read
Industrial quarters are order-book stories — backlog and book-to-bill color how the market reads the reported number.
- Industry
- Integrated Freight & Logistics
- Market cap
- $15.85B
- P/E (fwd)
- 9.3
- P/E (ttm)
- 11.0
- 52-week range
- $17.99–$26.20
- Off 52-week high
- 20.2%
- RSI (14)
- 20
- Volume vs avg
- 1.11×
- Score today
- 6.8/10