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ZZillow Group, Inc.Sell5.2·$33.79+5.49%
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Zillow Group, Inc. (Z) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Communication Services · Internet Content & Information

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $33.79 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 9.7): -1.5; Concentration risk — Product: Residential revenue (66.0%).

Zillow is the most visited U.S. residential real estate platform, attracting 9.6B visits in 2025 through Zillow.com, Trulia, and StreetEasy. Revenue is driven by Residential advertising to real estate agents (66% of 2025 revenue) and Rentals (24%); Zillow Home Loans provides... Read more

$33.79+55.0% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#20 of 27 Internet Content & Information
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.90%
Stop $31.57Target $52.63(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 5.6:1
Analyst target$60.50+79.0%6 analysts
$52.63our TP
$33.79price
$60.50mean
$76

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $33.79 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 9.7): -1.5; Concentration risk — Product: Residential revenue (66.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 55%
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Residential revenue (66.0%)
Leverage penalty (D/E 9.7): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)128.1
P/E (Fwd)10.6
Mkt Cap$7.3B
EV/EBITDA61.6
Profit Mgn2.3%
ROE1.3%
Rev Growth18.4%
Beta1.94
DividendNone
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.27bearish
IV98%elevated
Max Pain$130+284.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductResidential revenue66%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Residential revenue accounted for 66% of total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025.'
  • MEDIUMProductRentals revenue24%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Rentals revenue accounted for 24% of total revenue for the same period, representing 39% growth as compared to the year ended December 31, 2024.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Macd
3.6
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -10.2%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.8
Quality Rank
2.3
Growth Rank
6.9
GatesMomentum 2.0<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 5.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $31.48Resistance $39.33

Price Targets

$32
$53
A.Upside+55.8%
A.R:R5.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is Z stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $33.79 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 9.7): -1.5; Concentration risk — Product: Residential revenue (66.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $31.57. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

What is the Z stock price target?

Take-profit target: $52.63 (+55.0% upside). Prior stop was $31.57. Stop-loss: $31.57.

What are the risks of investing in Z?

Concentration risk — Product: Residential revenue (66.0%); Leverage penalty (D/E 9.7): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is Z overvalued or undervalued?

Zillow Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 128.1 (forward 10.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about Z?

30 analysts cover Z with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $61.

What does Zillow Group, Inc. do?Zillow is the most visited U.S. residential real estate platform, attracting 9.6B visits in 2025 through Zillow.com,...

Zillow is the most visited U.S. residential real estate platform, attracting 9.6B visits in 2025 through Zillow.com, Trulia, and StreetEasy. Revenue is driven by Residential advertising to real estate agents (66% of 2025 revenue) and Rentals (24%); Zillow Home Loans provides mortgage origination as an adjacent service.

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