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WMKWeis Markets, Inc.Sell5.6·$80.10+0.36%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Weis Markets shows exceptional near-term technical momentum with a breakout above all moving averages and strong volume accumulation, but the business quality score of 3.3 is below the minimum floor and the stock offers no remaining upside to resistance, making it unsuitable for new entry despite the compelling momentum profile.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Breakout MomentumStable
  • Quality Floor FailureStable
  • Upside Exhaustion At ResistanceStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Weis Markets, Inc. (WMK) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Grocery Stores

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $80.10: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality.

The Company is engaged principally in the retail sale of food in Pennsylvania and surrounding states. There was no material change in the nature of the Company's business during fiscal 2025. The Company's stock has been traded on the New York Stock Exchange since 1965 under the... Read more

$80.10+2.5% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#3 of 11 Grocery Stores
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-0.29%
IncomeYield1.70%(5y avg 1.94%)Payout33.58%sustainable
Stop $75.04Target $82.07(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $80.10: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06

Recent Developments — Weis Markets, Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-07-06T06:30:28Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202633d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.2%), Material insider selling (28 sells, 0.12% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.8
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap$2.0B
EV/EBITDA7.7
Profit Mgn2.0%
ROE7.2%
Rev Growth4.6%
Beta0.44
Dividend1.70%
Rating analysts

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.27bullish
IV49%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Fcf Quality
0.0
Net Margin
1.0
Operating Margin
1.1
Gross Margin
1.2
Roe
2.4
Roa
2.6
Moat
5.2
Current Ratio
7.1
Piotroski F
8.9
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -6% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.2
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MDividend: 170.0%
GatesMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 33d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $73.86Resistance $83.74

Price Targets

$75
$82
A.Upside+2.5%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.2%), Material insider selling (28 sells, 0.12% of cap)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (33d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WMK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $80.10: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $75.04. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WMK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $82.07 (+2.5% upside). Prior stop was $75.04. Stop-loss: $75.04.

What are the risks of investing in WMK?

Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.2%), Material insider selling (28 sells, 0.12% of cap).

Is WMK overvalued or undervalued?

Weis Markets, Inc. trades at a P/E of 19.8 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 9.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

0
What does Weis Markets, Inc. do?The Company is engaged principally in the retail sale of food in Pennsylvania and surrounding states. There was no...

The Company is engaged principally in the retail sale of food in Pennsylvania and surrounding states. There was no material change in the nature of the Company's business during fiscal 2025. The Company's stock has been traded on the New York Stock Exchange since 1965 under the symbol "WMK." The Weis family currently owns approximately 61% of the outstanding shares. Jonathan H. Weis serves as Chairman of the Board of Directors, President and Chief Executive Officer.

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