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WDSWoodside Energy Group LimitedHold5.9·$22.77-4.01%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Woodside Energy trades at an attractive valuation with an EV/EBITDA multiple and P/E ratio that score well relative to peers, but revenue has declined 11% year-over-year, free cash flow is negative relative to net income, and growth prospects are absent as an oil and gas exploration company facing commodity price and production headwinds.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation Energy PeersStable
  • Dividend Yield Trap RiskDeteriorating
  • Revenue Decline Negative FcfStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Woodside Energy Group Limited (WDS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $22.77, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4).

Woodside Energy Group Ltd engages in the exploration, evaluation, development, production, marketing, and sale of hydrocarbons in the Asia Pacific, Africa, the Americas, and the Europe. It produces liquefied natural gas, pipeline gas, crude oil and condensate, and natural gas... Read more

$22.77-15.2% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#38 of 49 Oil & Gas E&P
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield4.87%(5y avg 7.45%)Payout69.78%
Stop $21.87Target $23.37(resistance)A.R:R -3.0:1
Analyst target$22.73-0.2%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $22.77, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4). Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 171d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-05

Recent Developments — Woodside Energy Group Limited

Generated 2026-09-05T02:12:06Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Feb 22, 2027171d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.8
P/E (Fwd)18.1
Mkt Cap
EV/EBITDA7.5
Profit Mgn22.2%
ROE7.7%
Rev Growth13.0%
Beta-0.23
Dividend4.87%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.46bullish
IV35%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
2.2
Macd
2.7
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5A.R:R -3.0=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 171d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $22.04Resistance $23.85

Price Targets

$22
$23
A.Upside-15.2%
A.R:R-3.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-15.2% upside)
! momentum at 3.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-22 (171d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WDS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $22.77, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4). Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $23.37 (+2.6%), stop $21.87 (−4.1%), A.R:R -3.0:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WDS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $23.37 (-15.2% upside). Target $23.37 (+2.6%), stop $21.87 (−4.1%), A.R:R -3.0:1. Stop-loss: $21.87.

What are the risks of investing in WDS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Negative momentum.

Is WDS overvalued or undervalued?

Woodside Energy Group Limited trades at a P/E of 14.8 (forward 18.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about WDS?

17 analysts cover WDS with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $23.

What does Woodside Energy Group Limited do?Woodside Energy Group Ltd engages in the exploration, evaluation, development, production, marketing, and sale of...

Woodside Energy Group Ltd engages in the exploration, evaluation, development, production, marketing, and sale of hydrocarbons in the Asia Pacific, Africa, the Americas, and the Europe. It produces liquefied natural gas, pipeline gas, crude oil and condensate, and natural gas liquids. The company holds interests in the Pluto LNG, North West Shelf, Wheatstone and Julimar-Brunello, Bass Strait, Ngujima-Yin FPSO, Okha FPSO, Pyrenees FPSO, Macedon, Shenzi, Mad dog, Greater Angostura, as well as Scarborough, Sangomar, Trion, Calypso, Browse, Liard, Ruby, Sangomar, Atlantis, Woodside Solar opportunity, and Sunrise and Troubadour. It is also involved in the development of new energy products and lower-carbon services. The company was formerly known as Woodside Petroleum Ltd and changed its name to Woodside Energy Group Ltd in May 2022. Woodside Energy Group Ltd was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in Perth, Australia.

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