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WATWaters CorporationHold5.6·$356.81+0.36%
WAT · Why this verdict

Why Waters (WAT) is rated HOLD

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictHOLD
Overall score5.6/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

4.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
P/E2.7
P/S4.0
EV/EBITDA0.0
Fwd P/E6.0
PEG4.9
Analyst target5.0
  • Forward P/E: 21.6x
  • PEG: 1.58

Quality

4.5/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE1.7
ROA2.2
Gross margin7.0
Op margin1.1
Net margin6.0
Current ratio6.4
FCF quality0.0
Moat7.1
Piotroski F8.9
  • Earnings quality RED FLAG: -112% FCF/NI
  • Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9

Growth

10.0/10data confidence 33%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth10.0
  • Strong growth: 91% YoY

Momentum

2.5/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI5.5
MACD0.0
OBV1.0
MA position6.0
Volume0.0
  • Volume distribution (falling OBV)
  • Above 200-day MA

Sentiment

6.6/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst rating7.5
Price target6.8
erm sentiment4.9

Insider

6.3/10data confidence 75%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change6.9
notable moves7.0
  • No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

4.2/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank2.2
quality rank5.1
growth rank9.6
  • Industry growth leader

Technical

5.7/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger5.2
support resistance4.7
52w position7.2

Risk (lower is worse)

5.5/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest7.7
days to cover7.0
volatility3.3
put call4.1
implied vol4.4
max pain risk3.0
beta6.2
debt equity8.5
  • Above max pain $200
  • Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Catalyst

6.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history10.0
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg5.4
news activity5.0
  • Perfect beat streak: 4Q

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Mixed signals. Hold existing position.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_F_HOLD_DEFAULT
Passed (6)
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:44d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
  • MOMENTUM:2.5<4.5
  • ASYMMETRY:0.1<1.5@spot
Warning (0)

none

Reward-to-Risk
0.11
Upside
+1.0%
Downside
9.2%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupRANGE_BOUND RSI 59 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityMODERATE Balanced profile

Investment implication

The default F-path HOLD fired without any positive-conviction gate triggering — no momentum acceleration, no quality+value crossover, no setup recognition. Highest-clear gate: INSIDER:OK. Top dim: Growth at 10.0; weakest: Momentum at 2.5. The engine's read is one of pattern absence — no directional conviction in either direction at current asymmetry.

The strongest dimensions are Growth at 10.0, Sentiment at 6.6, and Insider at 6.3; the weakest are Momentum at 2.5, Value at 4.1, and Peer rank at 4.2. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.11 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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