Verra Mobility (VRRM) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.36
- Estimate
- $0.26
- Surprise
- +37.7%
- Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
- $258.9M
- Score today
- 6.8/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Verra Mobility (VRRM) beat the $0.26 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.36 — a large 37.7% upside surprise.
Coverage in the report window
- Verra Mobility Says Enterprise Contract Expires Sept. 30, 2027; Following Enterprise’s Procurement Process — benzinga, 2026-10-30
- Verra Mobility Names Matthew Kvarda Interim CFO, Effective Nov. 5 — benzinga, 2026-10-30
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates VRRM Buy (Wait) at 6.8/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +37.7% surprise compares with a +13.4% four-quarter average.
What supports the rating
- Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
- Attractive valuation
What argues against it
- Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
- Leverage penalty (D/E 4.9): -1.5
- Below 200-MA, MA slope -23.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $2.80
- Entry target
- $2.64
- Price target
- $5.57
- Stop
- $2.52
- Upside to target
- +98.9%
- Reward-to-risk
- 6.6:1
The stock trades at 10.4× trailing but 3.0× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Risk check: trading volume is running 2.7× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-31 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
VRRM at TrendMatrix's latest read
Technology names get repriced on forward expectations more than trailing prints — a quarter here is read through next-year growth and multiple, not the EPS line alone.
- Industry
- Information Technology Services
- Market cap
- $425.6M
- P/E (fwd)
- 3.0
- P/E (ttm)
- 10.4
- 52-week range
- $2.60–$23.72
- Off 52-week high
- 88.2%
- RSI (14)
- 46
- Volume vs avg
- 2.70×
- Score today
- 6.8/10