Valero Energy (VLO) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $23.90
- Estimate
- $21.23
- Surprise
- +12.6%
- Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
- $46.10B
- Score at report (before → after)
- 6.5 → 6.4/10
Revenue source: yfinance_provisional (provisional — SEC XBRL not yet filed for this period).
How the report landed
Valero Energy (VLO) beat the $21.23 estimate with adjusted EPS of $23.90 — a large 12.6% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (6.5/10) to Hold at 6.4/10 after the report — the engine's score fell despite the beat.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates VLO Hold at 6.9/10.
4 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +12.6% surprise compares with a +21.7% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2027-01-28.
What supports the rating
- Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
- Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
What argues against it
- Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
- Earnings estimates trending DOWN
- Target reached (1.5% upside)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $374.95
- Price target
- $380.75
- Stop
- $348.70
- Upside to target
- +1.5%
- Reward-to-risk
- 0.1:1
The stock trades at 8.3× trailing but 6.8× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-13 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
VLO at TrendMatrix's latest read
Energy results are commodity-price arithmetic first; the operational beat or miss is read net of what the strip already told the market.
- Industry
- Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
- Market cap
- $101.43B
- P/E (fwd)
- 6.8
- P/E (ttm)
- 8.3
- 52-week range
- $159.90–$461.52
- Off 52-week high
- 18.8%
- RSI (14)
- 37
- Volume vs avg
- 0.75×
- Score today
- 6.9/10