USA Rare Earth (USAR) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Reported EPS
- -$0.15
- Estimate
- -$0.13
- Surprise
- -19.1%
- Score today
- 5.6/10
Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.
How the report landed
USA Rare Earth (USAR) reported a wider loss than forecast — diluted EPS of -$0.15 against the -$0.13 estimate (a 19.1% shortfall).
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates USAR Sell at 5.6/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.
1 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -19.1% surprise compares with a -71.6% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-05.
What argues against it
- Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)
- Momentum score 3.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum
- Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $17.44
- Price target
- $30.93
- Stop
- $16.44
- Upside to target
- +77.4%
- Reward-to-risk
- 5.1:1
Risk check: trading volume is running 1.7× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-05 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
USAR at TrendMatrix's latest read
Materials producers report against the commodity cycle — realized-price capture and volume, not the EPS line, are the tells in a quarter like this.
- Industry
- Other Industrial Metals & Mining
- Market cap
- $4.31B
- P/E (fwd)
- 587.0
- 52-week range
- $11.45–$43.98
- Off 52-week high
- 60.3%
- RSI (14)
- 42
- Volume vs avg
- 1.71×
- Score today
- 5.6/10