Tesla (TSLA) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.48
- Estimate
- $0.45
- Surprise
- +6.4%
- Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
- $28.05B
- Score today
- 4.0/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Tesla (TSLA) beat the $0.45 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.48 — a clear 6.4% upside surprise.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates TSLA Sell at 4.0/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +6.4% surprise compares with a -1.2% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2027-01-27.
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Supplier: Panasonic and CATL
- Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source direct suppliers
- Target reached (-0.1% upside)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $379.78
- Stop
- $353.20
The stock trades at 417.3× trailing but 175.9× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-11 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
TSLA at TrendMatrix's latest read
Cyclical consumer names live and die on demand momentum — same-quarter comps and guidance carry more weight than the headline surprise.
- Industry
- Auto Manufacturers
- Market cap
- $1501.18B
- P/E (fwd)
- 175.9
- P/E (ttm)
- 417.3
- 52-week range
- $297.38–$498.83
- Off 52-week high
- 23.9%
- RSI (14)
- 48
- Volume vs avg
- 0.59×
- Score today
- 4.0/10