Tractor Supply (TSCO) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.43
- Estimate
- $0.41
- Surprise
- +6.1%
- Score at report (before → after)
- 4.7 → 5.0/10
Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.
How the report landed
Tractor Supply (TSCO) beat the $0.41 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.43 — a clear 6.1% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (4.7/10) to Sell at 5.0/10 after the report.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates TSCO Sell at 4.8/10.
1 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +6.1% surprise compares with a -6.6% four-quarter average.
What supports the rating
- Positive insider activity
What argues against it
- Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
- V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0)
- Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $34.07
- Stop
- $31.69
At 18.7× trailing and 16.9× forward earnings, consensus estimates imply little change in earnings power.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-23 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
TSCO at TrendMatrix's latest read
Cyclical consumer names live and die on demand momentum — same-quarter comps and guidance carry more weight than the headline surprise.
- Industry
- Specialty Retail
- Market cap
- $18.10B
- P/E (fwd)
- 16.9
- P/E (ttm)
- 18.7
- 52-week range
- $28.36–$58.21
- Off 52-week high
- 41.5%
- RSI (14)
- 67
- Volume vs avg
- 0.08×
- Score today
- 4.8/10