Trinity Industries (TRN) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Reported EPS
- $1.25
- Estimate
- $1.34
- Surprise
- -6.4%
- Revenue (period 2026-06-30)
- $485.1M
- Score at report (before → after)
- 4.8 → 4.9/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Trinity Industries (TRN) missed the $1.34 estimate with diluted EPS of $1.25 — a clear 6.4% shortfall. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (4.8/10) to Sell at 4.9/10 after the report — the engine's score rose despite the miss.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates TRN Sell at 4.9/10.
2 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -6.4% surprise compares with a +2.5% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-10-29.
What supports the rating
- Attractive valuation
- Margin of safety: 56%
What argues against it
- Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.9x (earnings normalizing)
- Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
- V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $28.30
- Price target
- $28.90
- Stop
- $26.77
- Upside to target
- +2.1%
- Reward-to-risk
- 0.4:1
Forward estimates sit below the trailing run-rate (12.6× forward vs 6.6× trailing) — consensus expects earnings to decline from here.
Risk check: RSI 20 — a level conventionally read as oversold.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-04 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
TRN at TrendMatrix's latest read
Industrial quarters are order-book stories — backlog and book-to-bill color how the market reads the reported number.
- Industry
- Railroads
- Market cap
- $2.24B
- P/E (fwd)
- 12.6
- P/E (ttm)
- 6.6
- 52-week range
- $24.76–$38.31
- Off 52-week high
- 26.1%
- RSI (14)
- 20
- Volume vs avg
- 0.40×
- Score today
- 4.9/10