Trinity Industries (TRN) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $1.25
- Estimate
- $1.34
- Surprise
- -6.4%
- Revenue (period 2026-06-30)
- $485.1M
- Score at report (before → after)
- 4.8 → 4.9/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Trinity Industries (TRN) missed the $1.34 estimate with adjusted EPS of $1.25 — a clear 6.4% shortfall. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (4.8/10) to Sell at 4.9/10 after the report — the engine's score rose despite the miss.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates TRN Sell at 5.4/10.
2 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -6.4% surprise compares with a +2.8% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2027-02-11.
What supports the rating
- Attractive valuation
- Margin of safety: 71%
What argues against it
- Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.9x (earnings normalizing)
- Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
- V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $31.28
- Stop
- $29.14
Forward estimates sit below the trailing run-rate (13.7× forward vs 7.2× trailing) — consensus expects earnings to decline from here.
Risk check: RSI 81 — a level conventionally read as overbought; gains at these levels often lean on momentum.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-04 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
TRN at TrendMatrix's latest read
Industrial quarters are order-book stories — backlog and book-to-bill color how the market reads the reported number.
- Industry
- Railroads
- Market cap
- $2.34B
- P/E (fwd)
- 13.7
- P/E (ttm)
- 7.2
- 52-week range
- $24.28–$38.31
- Off 52-week high
- 18.4%
- RSI (14)
- 81
- Volume vs avg
- 0.52×
- Score today
- 5.4/10