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TMToyota Motor CorporationSell5.9·$194.83-0.33%

Toyota Motor (TM) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

BEAT+95.5% vs estimateEPS $7.70 vs $3.94 estCurrent verdict Sell 5.9/10

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure

Event detail · Q2 2026

Key numbers

Reported EPS
$7.70
Estimate
$3.94
Surprise
+95.5%
Score today
5.9/10

Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.

Report record · Q2 2026

How the report landed

Toyota Motor (TM) beat the $3.94 estimate with diluted EPS of $7.70 — a large 95.5% upside surprise.

Current read · as of 2026-09-17

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates TM Sell at 5.9/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.

3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +95.5% surprise compares with a +55.9% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-05.

What argues against it

  • Target reached (2.4% upside)
  • Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0)
  • Momentum score 2.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$194.83
Price target
$196.84
Stop
$184.97
Upside to target
+1.0%
Reward-to-risk
0.5:1

Forward estimates sit below the trailing run-rate (12.2× forward vs 8.5× trailing) — consensus expects earnings to decline from here.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-17 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Consumer Cyclical context

TM at TrendMatrix's latest read

Cyclical consumer names live and die on demand momentum — same-quarter comps and guidance carry more weight than the headline surprise.

Industry
Auto Manufacturers
Market cap
$227.61B
P/E (fwd)
12.2
P/E (ttm)
8.5
52-week range
$166.10$248.90
Off 52-week high
21.7%
RSI (14)
51
Volume vs avg
0.85×
Score today
5.9/10

Earnings figures are sourced from TrendMatrix’s pipeline (EPS: existing earnings extraction; revenue: SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise). Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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