Talen Energy (TLN) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $5.89
- Estimate
- $7.46
- Surprise
- -21.1%
- Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
- $1.66B
- Score today
- 5.9/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Talen Energy (TLN) missed the $7.46 estimate with adjusted EPS of $5.89 — a large 21.1% shortfall.
Coverage in the report window
- Talen Energy Closes ~$1.5B Monetization Of 2027-29 PJM Capacity Cash Flows; Net $1.3B Funds Accelerated Repurchase — benzinga, 2026-11-03
- Talen Energy Upsizes Share Buyback To $3.0B From $1.5B Through 2028; Includes $1.5B Accelerated Share Repurchase — benzinga, 2026-11-03
- Talen Energy Q3 Total Generation 23.9 TWh vs 11.1 TWh YoY — benzinga, 2026-11-03
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates TLN Sell at 5.9/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.
2 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -21.1% surprise compares with a -11.7% four-quarter average.
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Geographic: PJM
- Concentration risk — Hedge Coverage: 60-80% expected generation hedge target
- Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $357.28
- Price target
- $407.35
- Stop
- $332.27
- Upside to target
- +14.0%
- Reward-to-risk
- 1.2:1
Risk check: trading volume is running 2.0× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-04 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
TLN at TrendMatrix's latest read
Utility earnings are regulatory outcomes on a lag — allowed-return and rate-case posture frame any quarter's print.
- Industry
- Utilities - Independent Power Producers
- Market cap
- $16.90B
- P/E (fwd)
- 12.9
- 52-week range
- $279.77–$449.84
- Off 52-week high
- 20.6%
- RSI (14)
- 50
- Volume vs avg
- 2.03×
- Score today
- 5.9/10