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SVMSilvercorp Metals Inc.Buy Wait6.2·$13.01+1.80%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Silvercorp Metals has a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9 out of 9, a wide economic moat, 96% year-over-year revenue growth, and a Rule of 40 score of 117, making it an elite-quality silver producer by financial health metrics, though the stock trades at essentially its analyst consensus target with minimal near-term upside.

Thesis pillars

  • High Short Interest At TargetDeteriorating
  • Silver Exposure Commodity VolatilityStable
  • Perfect Piotroski Wide Moat QualityStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Silvercorp Metals Inc. (SVM) Stock Analysis

Temporary headwind edge

Buy WaitGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Silver

Wait for pullback to $10.91. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $13.01. Engine's entry $10.91 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 8.2× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.08× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Silvercorp Metals Inc., together with its subsidiaries, acquires, explores, develops, and mines mineral properties in China. It explores for copper, silver, gold, lead, and zinc metals. The company was formerly known as SKN Resources Ltd. and changed its name to Silvercorp... Read more

$13.01-4.4% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#3 of 6 Silver
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield1.17%
IncomeYield0.20%(5y avg 0.70%)Payout22.73%sustainable
Entry $10.91(support + ATR (held))Stop $9.58Target $13.39(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$14.75+13.4%2 analysts
$13.39our TP
$13.01price
$14.75mean
$16

Wait for pullback to $10.91. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $13.01. Engine's entry $10.91 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 8.2× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.08× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.00, quality 7.8/10, growth 10.0/10). Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 63d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and materials cycle peak fwd=8.2x,ratio=0.08x. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202663d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.8 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 8.2× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.08× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)106.5
P/E (Fwd)8.2
Mkt Cap$2.8B
EV/EBITDA8.9
Profit Mgn6.3%
ROE8.1%
Rev Growth70.5%
Beta1.98
Dividend0.20%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWide

Options Flow

P/C1.33bearish
IV74%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.0
Growth Rank
2.5
Value Rank
3.0

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.8
Support Resistance
2.2
Gap
4.0
52w Position
6.6

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.7
Obv
1.0
Macd
3.2
Rsi
5.0
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5A.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK fwd=8.2x,ratio=0.08xInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 63d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $11.15Resistance $13.66

Price Targets

$10
$11
$13
A.Upside-4.4%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.6%
Max %1.2%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.4% upside)
! momentum at 3.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (63d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SVM stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $10.91. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $13.01. Engine's entry $10.91 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 8.2× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.08× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.00, quality 7.8/10, growth 10.0/10). Target $13.39 (+2.9%), stop $9.58 (−35.8%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SVM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $13.39 (-4.4% upside). Target $13.39 (+2.9%), stop $9.58 (−35.8%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Stop-loss: $9.58.

What are the risks of investing in SVM?

Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 8.2× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.08× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Is SVM overvalued or undervalued?

Silvercorp Metals Inc. trades at a P/E of 106.5 (forward 8.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about SVM?

9 analysts cover SVM with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $15.

What does Silvercorp Metals Inc. do?Silvercorp Metals Inc., together with its subsidiaries, acquires, explores, develops, and mines mineral properties in...

Silvercorp Metals Inc., together with its subsidiaries, acquires, explores, develops, and mines mineral properties in China. It explores for copper, silver, gold, lead, and zinc metals. The company was formerly known as SKN Resources Ltd. and changed its name to Silvercorp Metals Inc. in May 2005. Silvercorp Metals Inc. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Related stocks: AYA (Aya Gold & Silver Inc.) · AG (First Majestic Silver Corp.) · EXK (Endeavour Silver Corporation) · NEWP (New Pacific Metals Corp.) · HSLV (Highlander Silver Corp.)
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