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SVMSilvercorp Metals Inc.Sell6.8·$9.64+0.21%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Silvercorp Metals has a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9 out of 9, a wide economic moat, 96% year-over-year revenue growth, and a Rule of 40 score of 117, making it an elite-quality silver producer by financial health metrics, though the stock trades at essentially its analyst consensus target with minimal near-term upside.

Thesis pillars

  • High Short Interest At TargetDeteriorating
  • Silver Exposure Commodity VolatilityDeteriorating
  • Perfect Piotroski Wide Moat QualityStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Silvercorp Metals Inc. (SVM) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Silver

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.64: Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.8/10 and A.R:R 2.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Elevated put/call ratio: 9.18; Below long-term trend.

Silvercorp Metals Inc., together with its subsidiaries, acquires, explores, develops, and mines mineral properties in China. It explores for copper, silver, gold, lead, and zinc metals. The company was formerly known as SKN Resources Ltd. and changed its name to Silvercorp... Read more

$9.64+25.6% A.UpsideScore 6.8/10#1 of 6 Silver
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.23%
IncomeYield0.26%(5y avg 0.70%)Payout22.73%sustainable
Stop $8.97Target $12.11(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.2:1
Analyst target$14.25+47.8%2 analysts
$12.11our TP
$9.64price
$14.25mean
$15

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.64: Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.8/10 and A.R:R 2.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Elevated put/call ratio: 9.18; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 16d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 10, 202616d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (4 sells, 4.33% of cap), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)5.8
Mkt Cap$2.1B
EV/EBITDA7.5
Profit Mgn-2.3%
ROE3.4%
Rev Growth96.2%
Beta1.97
Dividend0.26%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWide

Options Flow

P/C9.18bearish
IV75%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.5
Quality Rank
3.0
Value Rank
6.0
GatesMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.3>=4.5A.R:R 2.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 16d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $8.50Resistance $11.29

Price Targets

$9
$12
A.Upside+25.6%
A.R:R2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (4 sells, 4.33% of cap), Negative free cash flow

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-10 (16d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SVM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.64: Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.8/10 and A.R:R 2.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Elevated put/call ratio: 9.18; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $8.97. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SVM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.11 (+25.6% upside). Prior stop was $8.97. Stop-loss: $8.97.

What are the risks of investing in SVM?

Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (4 sells, 4.33% of cap), Negative free cash flow.

Is SVM overvalued or undervalued?

Silvercorp Metals Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 5.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SVM?

9 analysts cover SVM with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $14.

What does Silvercorp Metals Inc. do?Silvercorp Metals Inc., together with its subsidiaries, acquires, explores, develops, and mines mineral properties in...

Silvercorp Metals Inc., together with its subsidiaries, acquires, explores, develops, and mines mineral properties in China. It explores for copper, silver, gold, lead, and zinc metals. The company was formerly known as SKN Resources Ltd. and changed its name to Silvercorp Metals Inc. in May 2005. Silvercorp Metals Inc. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Related stocks: AG (First Majestic Silver Corp.) · AYA (Aya Gold & Silver Inc.) · EXK (Endeavour Silver Corporation) · NEWP (New Pacific Metals Corp.) · HSLV (Highlander Silver Corp.)
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