Constellation Brands (STZ) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $3.74
- Estimate
- $3.55
- Surprise
- +5.5%
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.8 → 6.2/10
Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.
How the report landed
Constellation Brands (STZ) beat the $3.55 estimate with adjusted EPS of $3.74 — a clear 5.5% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (5.8/10) to Hold at 6.2/10 after the report.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates STZ Hold at 6.2/10.
4 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +5.5% surprise compares with a +9.9% four-quarter average.
What supports the rating
- V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.3 in RISK_OFF)
- Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8
What argues against it
- Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5
- Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $115.67
- Price target
- $145.84
- Stop
- $110.55
- Upside to target
- +26.1%
- Reward-to-risk
- 5.2:1
At 10.4× trailing and 9.4× forward earnings, consensus estimates imply little change in earnings power.
Risk check: RSI 23 — a level conventionally read as oversold; trading volume is running 2.5× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-07 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
STZ at TrendMatrix's latest read
Defensive staples are judged on margin resilience: pricing power against input costs matters more here than top-line drama.
- Industry
- Beverages - Brewers
- Market cap
- $19.75B
- P/E (fwd)
- 9.4
- P/E (ttm)
- 10.4
- 52-week range
- $110.60–$168.60
- Off 52-week high
- 31.4%
- RSI (14)
- 23
- Volume vs avg
- 2.51×
- Score today
- 6.2/10