Constellation Brands (STZ) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $3.74
- Estimate
- $3.55
- Surprise
- +5.5%
- Revenue (period 2026-08-31)
- $2.63B
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.8 → 6.2/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Constellation Brands (STZ) beat the $3.55 estimate with adjusted EPS of $3.74 — a clear 5.5% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (5.8/10) to Hold at 6.2/10 after the report.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates STZ Hold at 5.9/10.
4 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +5.5% surprise compares with a +9.9% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2027-01-07.
What supports the rating
- V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.1 in RISK_OFF)
- Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8
What argues against it
- Thin upside margin: 3.9%
- Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5
- Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $130.63
- Price target
- $135.78
- Stop
- $123.37
- Upside to target
- +3.9%
- Reward-to-risk
- 0.3:1
At 12.1× trailing and 11.2× forward earnings, consensus estimates imply little change in earnings power.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-27 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
STZ at TrendMatrix's latest read
Defensive staples are judged on margin resilience: pricing power against input costs matters more here than top-line drama.
- Industry
- Beverages - Brewers
- Market cap
- $22.95B
- P/E (fwd)
- 11.2
- P/E (ttm)
- 12.1
- 52-week range
- $110.60–$168.60
- Off 52-week high
- 22.5%
- RSI (14)
- 69
- Volume vs avg
- 0.99×
- Score today
- 5.9/10