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SPSCSPS Commerce, Inc.Sell5.8·$83.55-0.78%

SPS Commerce (SPSC) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

BEAT+17.3% vs estimateEPS $1.27 vs $1.08 estVerdict HoldBuy (Wait)

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure

Event detail · Q2 2026

Key numbers

Reported EPS
$1.27
Estimate
$1.08
Surprise
+17.3%
Revenue (period 2026-06-30)
$197.8M
Score at report (before → after)
6.16.2/10

Revenue source: xbrl.

Report record · Q2 2026

How the report landed

SPS Commerce (SPSC) beat the $1.08 estimate with diluted EPS of $1.27 — a large 17.3% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Hold (6.1/10) to Buy (Wait) at 6.2/10 after the report.

Current read · as of 2026-09-04

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates SPSC Sell at 5.8/10.

4 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +17.3% surprise compares with a +13.7% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-10-29.

What supports the rating

  • Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
  • Positive insider activity

What argues against it

  • Concentration risk — Product: cloud-based supply chain management products
  • Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
  • Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$83.55
Price target
$86.32
Stop
$77.85
Upside to target
+3.3%

The stock trades at 39.9× trailing but 15.8× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.

Risk check: RSI 71 — a level conventionally read as overbought; gains at these levels often lean on momentum.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-04 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Technology context

SPSC at TrendMatrix's latest read

Technology names get repriced on forward expectations more than trailing prints — a quarter here is read through next-year growth and multiple, not the EPS line alone.

Industry
Software - Application
Market cap
$3.03B
P/E (fwd)
15.8
P/E (ttm)
39.9
52-week range
$49.04$114.87
Off 52-week high
27.3%
RSI (14)
71
Volume vs avg
0.55×
Score today
5.8/10

Earnings figures are sourced from TrendMatrix’s pipeline (EPS: existing earnings extraction; revenue: SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise). Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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