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SPIRSpire Global, Inc.Sell4.0·$18.47+0.49%
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Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5High Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $18.47 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Spire Global, Inc. provides subscription-based data, insights, predictive analytics, and related project-based services in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company offers Space Reconnaissance service, a mission-critical insights support... Read more

$18.47+14.6% A.UpsideScore 4.0/10#28 of 29 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield1.40%
Stop $17.15Target $21.14(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$20.88+13.0%4 analysts
$21.14our TP
$18.47price
$20.88mean
$15
$24

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $18.47 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 39d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 12, 202639d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Weak overall score: 4.0/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.6
P/E (Fwd)-73.8
Mkt Cap$714M
EV/EBITDA-9.1
Profit Mgn77.1%
ROE101.2%
Rev Growth-33.7%
Beta2.52
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.48bullish
IV112%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -33.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -34%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
4.6
Quality Rank
9.6
Attractive P/E vs peersSuperior ROE vs peers
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 39d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $15.30Resistance $21.57

Price Targets

$17
$21
A.Upside+14.5%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-12 (39d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SPIR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $18.47 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $17.15. Score 4.0/10, high confidence.

What is the SPIR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $21.14 (+14.6% upside). Prior stop was $17.15. Stop-loss: $17.15.

What are the risks of investing in SPIR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak overall score: 4.0/10.

Is SPIR overvalued or undervalued?

Spire Global, Inc. trades at a P/E of 11.6 (forward -73.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SPIR?

10 analysts cover SPIR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $21.

What does Spire Global, Inc. do?Spire Global, Inc. provides subscription-based data, insights, predictive analytics, and related project-based services...

Spire Global, Inc. provides subscription-based data, insights, predictive analytics, and related project-based services in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company offers Space Reconnaissance service, a mission-critical insights support defense, intelligence, and national security operations; Aviation service, a satellite-based aircraft tracking data to power applications; Weather and Climate, a space-based data, AI-powered insights, and predictive weather analytics; and Space Services solutions includes space-as-a- service, which delivers and develops infrastructure, including ground station network and cloud infrastructure to access spaces. It serves government, logistics, operations, insurance, energy, agriculture, and financial industries. It has strategic partnership with Schaeffler AG to develop space hardware subsystems, satellite platforms, and advanced radiofrequency (RF) and environmental sensing capabilities. The company was formerly known as Nanosatisfi, Inc. and changed its name to Spire Global, Inc. in July 2014. Spire Global, Inc. was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Vienna, Virginia.

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