SM Energy (SM) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $1.95
- Estimate
- $1.98
- Surprise
- -1.5%
- Score today
- 7.2/10
Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.
How the report landed
SM Energy (SM) missed the $1.98 estimate with adjusted EPS of $1.95 — a modest 1.5% shortfall.
Coverage in the report window
- SM Energy Says Uinta Basin Takeaway Constraints Cut Q3 Oil Volumes By ~4 MBbl/d, Expects Resolution In Early 2027 — benzinga, 2026-11-03
- SM Energy Q3 Adj. EPS $1.95 Misses $1.97 Estimate, Sales $2.160B Beat $2.005B Estimate — benzinga, 2026-11-03
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates SM Buy (Wait) at 7.2/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.
2 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -1.5% surprise compares with a +12.1% four-quarter average.
What supports the rating
- V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.7 in RISK_OFF)
- Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
What argues against it
- Negative momentum
- Momentum 3.0 < 4.5 minimum
- Momentum score 3.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $36.67
- Entry target
- $35.25
- Price target
- $41.60
- Stop
- $33.64
- Upside to target
- +13.4%
- Reward-to-risk
- 1.7:1
The stock trades at 6.6× trailing but 4.2× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-04 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
SM at TrendMatrix's latest read
Energy results are commodity-price arithmetic first; the operational beat or miss is read net of what the strip already told the market.
- Industry
- Oil & Gas E&P
- Market cap
- $8.72B
- P/E (fwd)
- 4.2
- P/E (ttm)
- 6.6
- 52-week range
- $17.45–$41.56
- Off 52-week high
- 11.8%
- RSI (14)
- 43
- Volume vs avg
- 1.20×
- Score today
- 7.2/10