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SKYDSkydance CorporationSell4.2·$7.07
SKYD · Why this verdict

Why Skydance (SKYD) is rated SELL

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictSELL
Overall score4.2/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

7.5/10data confidence 83%
ComponentSub-score
P/S9.2
EV/EBITDA7.1
Fwd P/E5.2
PEG8.4
Analyst target7.5
  • ▸Forward P/E: 24.1x
  • ▸PEG: 0.76
  • ▸Attractively valued

Quality

2.6/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE0.0
ROA1.8
Gross margin2.7
Op margin3.7
Net margin0.0
Current ratio4.1
Moat3.1
Piotroski F5.6
  • ▸No competitive moat
  • ▸Quality concerns

Growth

1.4/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth2.7
EPS growth0.0

Momentum

4.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI4.5
MACD2.6
OBV10.0
MA position1.0
Volume1.8
  • ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
  • ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.0%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Sentiment

6.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
LLM sentiment4.5
Analyst rating5.0
Price target8.8
  • ▸Analyst upside: 33%

Insider

6.1/10data confidence 75%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change6.4
notable moves7.0
  • ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

3.5/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank6.5
quality rank2.2
growth rank1.9

Technical

5.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger7.5
support resistance7.8
52w position0.0

Risk (lower is worse)

2.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest1.9
days to cover1.9
volatility0.0
put call0.0
implied vol0.0
max pain risk3.0
beta4.8
debt equity4.5
news risk5.0
  • ▸High short interest justified: 16%
  • ▸Elevated put/call: 2.00
  • ▸High IV: 274%
  • ▸Above max pain $4

Catalyst

3.7/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
earnings history3.3
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg0.0
dividend safety2.0
news activity8.0
  • ▸Earnings concerns: 2B/2M

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Quality below minimum threshold.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L1:HARD_BLOCK:QUALITY_FLOOR
Passed (7)
  • ASYMMETRY:1.6>=1.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:26d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
  • MOMENTUM:4.0<4.5
  • DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (0)

none

Reward-to-Risk
1.57
Upside
+19.9%
Downside
12.7%
Sizing output
AVOID

Setup— — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed

EdgeNo clear edge — No clear edge identified

SuitabilitySpeculative — Drawdown -55% (>40% off 52w high)

Investment implication

The SELL_IF_HOLDING verdict reflects the MOMENTUM gate's 4.0<4.5 outcome against Value at 7.5 and asymmetric R:R of 1.57.

The strongest dimensions are Value at 7.5, Insider at 6.1, and Sentiment at 6.0; the weakest are Growth at 1.4, Risk (lower is worse) at 2.3, and Quality at 2.6. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 1.57 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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