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SCYXSCYNEXIS, Inc.Hold5.6·$5.35
SCYX · Why this verdict

Why SCYNEXIS (SCYX) is rated HOLD

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictHOLD
Overall score5.6/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

8.5/10data confidence 20%
ComponentSub-score
P/S8.5
  • Attractively valued

Quality

3.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE0.0
ROA0.0
Gross margin10.0
Net margin0.0
Current ratio5.0
FCF quality0.0
Moat5.5
Rule of 403.0
Piotroski F4.4
  • Cash-burning: FCF -38% of revenue
  • Rule of 40: -121 (fail)

Growth

5.0/10data confidence 50%

Momentum

5.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI2.6
MACD7.8
OBV10.0
MA position6.0
Volume0.0
  • Overbought bear rally (RSI 77)
  • Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
  • Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.0%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Sentiment

7.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
news sentiment7.1
Analyst rating6.8
Price target10.0
  • Positive news sentiment (+0.43)
  • Light analyst coverage (3.0) — signal dampened
  • Analyst upside: 597%

Insider

7.3/10data confidence 75%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change10.0
notable moves7.0
  • No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
  • Institutions accumulating

Peer rank

3.5/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank4.3
quality rank1.3
growth rank0.0
  • Conservative debt levels

Technical

1.4/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger2.6
support resistance1.5
52w position0.0

Risk (lower is worse)

5.2/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest8.3
days to cover9.4
volatility0.0
put call0.0
implied vol0.0
max pain risk7.0
beta6.6
debt equity9.9
  • Elevated put/call: 2.00
  • High IV: 220%

Catalyst

6.7/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history6.7
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg10.0
news activity7.0
  • Strong earnings: 3B/1M

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Market cap $52M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L1:HARD_BLOCK:MARKET_CAP
Passed (7)
  • MOMENTUM:5.3>=4.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:79d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (0)

none

Warning (3)
  • MOMENTUM:5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)
  • ASYMMETRY:UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)
  • DEATH_CROSS:momentum=5.3>=5.0 recovering
Reward-to-Risk
0.00
Upside
+0.0%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupRecovery Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 77

EdgeInst Constrain Small cap ($0.1B) below institutional reach

SuitabilitySpeculative Drawdown -50% (>40% off 52w high)

Investment implication

The HOLD_IF_HOLDING verdict reflects clean gate clearance against Value at 8.5 and asymmetric R:R of 0.00.

The strongest dimensions are Value at 8.5, Sentiment at 7.9, and Insider at 7.3; the weakest are Technical at 1.4, Quality at 3.1, and Peer rank at 3.5. The V9 engine cleared all gates with 3 warnings, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.00 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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