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RUNSunrun Inc.Sell5.4·$8.79

Sunrun (RUN) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

BEAT+75.4% vs estimateEPS $0.56 vs $0.32 estCurrent verdict Sell 5.4/10

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy

Event detail · Q3 2026

Key numbers

Adjusted EPS
$0.56
Estimate
$0.32
Surprise
+75.4%
Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
$1.10B
Score today
5.4/10

Revenue source: xbrl.

Report record · Q3 2026

How the report landed

Sunrun (RUN) beat the $0.32 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.56 — a large 75.4% upside surprise.

Around the report

Coverage in the report window

  • Why AppLovin Shares Are Trading Higher By Over 16%; Here Are 20 Stocks Moving Premarket — benzinga, 2026-11-05
  • Sunrun Reports Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results — fiscal.ai, 2026-11-04
  • Sunrun Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript — benzinga, 2026-11-04
Current read · as of 2026-11-05

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates RUN Sell at 5.4/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.

4 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +75.4% surprise compares with a +518.6% four-quarter average.

What argues against it

  • Cyclical trap - fwd PE 19x vs trail 6x (3.2x)
  • Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0)

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$8.79
Price target
$12.79
Stop
$8.17
Upside to target
+45.5%
Reward-to-risk
3.0:1

Forward estimates sit below the trailing run-rate (18.9× forward vs 5.9× trailing) — consensus expects earnings to decline from here.

Risk check: trading volume is running 3.2× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-05 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Technology context

RUN at TrendMatrix's latest read

Technology names get repriced on forward expectations more than trailing prints — a quarter here is read through next-year growth and multiple, not the EPS line alone.

Industry
Solar
Market cap
$2.12B
P/E (fwd)
18.9
P/E (ttm)
5.9
52-week range
$6.78–$21.95
Off 52-week high
60.0%
RSI (14)
65
Volume vs avg
3.21×
Score today
5.4/10

EPS and the estimate come from Yahoo Finance’s earnings calendar, captured around the report date. That EPS is the adjusted figure analysts forecast, so it can differ from the GAAP diluted EPS in the company’s filing, and consensus estimates vary between data providers. Revenue comes from SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise. Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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