RTX (RTX) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $2.26
- Estimate
- $1.78
- Surprise
- +27.0%
- Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
- $24.96B
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.8 → 5.8/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
RTX (RTX) beat the $1.78 estimate with adjusted EPS of $2.26 — a large 27.0% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Hold (5.8/10) to Sell at 5.8/10 after the report.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates RTX Sell at 5.8/10.
4 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +27.0% surprise compares with a +15.8% four-quarter average.
What supports the rating
- Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
- Positive momentum
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source foreign suppliers
- Thin upside margin: 6.3%
- V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $193.34
- Price target
- $205.43
- Stop
- $185.18
- Upside to target
- +6.3%
- Reward-to-risk
- 0.8:1
The stock trades at 34.0× trailing but 24.3× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Risk check: trading volume is running 2.2× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-21 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
RTX at TrendMatrix's latest read
Industrial quarters are order-book stories — backlog and book-to-bill color how the market reads the reported number.
- Industry
- Aerospace & Defense
- Market cap
- $260.58B
- P/E (fwd)
- 24.3
- P/E (ttm)
- 34.0
- 52-week range
- $166.74–$226.88
- Off 52-week high
- 14.8%
- RSI (14)
- 63
- Volume vs avg
- 2.17×
- Score today
- 5.8/10