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RIVNRivian Automotive, Inc.Sell5.7·$11.45

Rivian Automotive (RIVN) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

BEAT · SMALLER LOSS+13.5% vs estimateEPS -$0.63 vs -$0.73 estCurrent verdict Sell 5.7/10

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy

Event detail · Q3 2026

Key numbers

Adjusted EPS
-$0.63
Estimate
-$0.73
Surprise
+13.5%
Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
$2.15B
Score today
5.7/10

Revenue source: xbrl.

Report record · Q3 2026

How the report landed

Rivian Automotive (RIVN) reported a narrower loss than forecast — adjusted EPS of -$0.63 against the -$0.73 estimate (a 13.5% beat on a still-unprofitable quarter).

Around the report

Coverage in the report window

  • Jefferies Upgrades Rivian Automotive to Buy, Maintains Price Target to $17 — benzinga, 2026-10-30
  • Needham Maintains Buy Rating on Rivian, Lowers Price Target — fiscal.ai, 2026-10-30
  • Rivian Launches Ghostbusters-Themed Software Update and Marketing Campaign — fiscal.ai, 2026-10-30
Current read · as of 2026-10-30

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates RIVN Sell at 5.7/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.

4 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +13.5% surprise compares with a +14.4% four-quarter average.

What argues against it

  • Concentration risk — Supplier: single- or limited-source suppliers
  • Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)
  • Momentum score 3.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$11.45
Price target
$17.10
Stop
$11.04
Upside to target
+49.3%
Reward-to-risk
6.0:1

Risk check: RSI 16 — a level conventionally read as oversold; trading volume is running 1.6× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-30 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Consumer Cyclical context

RIVN at TrendMatrix's latest read

Cyclical consumer names live and die on demand momentum — same-quarter comps and guidance carry more weight than the headline surprise.

Industry
Auto Manufacturers
Market cap
$16.58B
P/E (fwd)
-6.6
52-week range
$11.38–$22.69
Off 52-week high
49.5%
RSI (14)
16
Volume vs avg
1.64×
Score today
5.7/10

EPS and the estimate come from Yahoo Finance’s earnings calendar, captured around the report date. That EPS is the adjusted figure analysts forecast, so it can differ from the GAAP diluted EPS in the company’s filing, and consensus estimates vary between data providers. Revenue comes from SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise. Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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