Riley Exploration Permian (REPX) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $2.66
- Estimate
- $2.48
- Surprise
- +7.3%
- Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
- $201.2M
- Score today
- 7.2/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Riley Exploration Permian (REPX) beat the $2.48 estimate with adjusted EPS of $2.66 — a clear 7.3% upside surprise.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates REPX Buy (Wait) at 7.2/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.
2 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +7.3% surprise compares with a +4.0% four-quarter average.
What supports the rating
- V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.9 in RISK_OFF)
- Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Geographic: Northwest Shelf within the Permian Basin
- Consecutive earnings misses (2)
- Negative momentum
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $42.88
- Entry target
- $40.67
- Price target
- $47.60
- Stop
- $37.82
- Upside to target
- +11.0%
- Reward-to-risk
- 1.0:1
The stock trades at 7.6× trailing but 4.4× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Risk check: trading volume is running 1.5× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-05 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
REPX at TrendMatrix's latest read
Energy results are commodity-price arithmetic first; the operational beat or miss is read net of what the strip already told the market.
- Industry
- Oil & Gas E&P
- Market cap
- $950.0M
- P/E (fwd)
- 4.4
- P/E (ttm)
- 7.6
- 52-week range
- $24.08–$54.57
- Off 52-week high
- 21.4%
- RSI (14)
- 42
- Volume vs avg
- 1.50×
- Score today
- 7.2/10