Skip to main content
PHIPLDT Inc. SponsoredSell5.5·$19.31-0.77%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

PLDT offers deep value with a forward P/E of 6.7x and 25.6% upside to the analyst target, supported by strong ROE and peer-leading margins, but is constrained by confirmed downtrend momentum, negative free cash flow relative to net income, and a leverage penalty from debt-to-equity of 2.8.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Low Forward PeStable
  • Negative Fcf Quality ConcernStable
  • Downtrend Momentum HeadwindDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

PLDT Inc. Sponsored (PHI) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $19.31 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5; Weak growth.

PLDT Inc. provides telecommunications and digital services in the Philippines. The company operates through three segments: Wireless, Fixed Line, and Others. It offers cellular mobile, internet broadband distribution, operations support, software development, and satellite... Read more

$19.31+16.3% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#24 of 44 Telecom Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-144.47%
IncomeYield7.83%(5y avg 7.38%)Payout71.77%
Stop $18.61Target $22.46(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.3:1
Analyst target$26.42+36.8%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $19.31 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5; Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 13, 2026· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 40%
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5
Weak growth
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.1
P/E (Fwd)7.2
Mkt Cap$4.2B
EV/EBITDA3.9
Profit Mgn13.6%
ROE24.7%
Rev Growth2.2%
Beta0.29
Dividend7.83%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.7
Revenue Growth
3.0

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.4
Macd
2.0
Rsi
3.5
Ma Position
4.2
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.6%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.4
Dividend Safety
4.7
Erm
5.0
Earnings History
5.6
Yield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesMomentum 2.4<4.5A.R:R 3.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
40 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $19.16Resistance $20.16

Price Targets

$19
$22
A.Upside+16.3%
A.R:R3.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-13 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PHI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $19.31 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5; Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $18.61. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.

What is the PHI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $22.46 (+16.3% upside). Prior stop was $18.61. Stop-loss: $18.61.

What are the risks of investing in PHI?

Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5; Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is PHI overvalued or undervalued?

PLDT Inc. Sponsored trades at a P/E of 9.1 (forward 7.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PHI?

15 analysts cover PHI with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $26.

What does PLDT Inc. Sponsored do?PLDT Inc. provides telecommunications and digital services in the Philippines. The company operates through three...

PLDT Inc. provides telecommunications and digital services in the Philippines. The company operates through three segments: Wireless, Fixed Line, and Others. It offers cellular mobile, internet broadband distribution, operations support, software development, and satellite information and messaging services; and sells Wi-Fi access equipment. It also provides fixed line telecommunications services; secure data center, multi-cloud, cybersecurity, data and artificial intelligence solutions; business infrastructure and solutions; intelligent data processing and implementation, and data analytics insight generation services; and information and communications infrastructure for Internet-based services, e-commerce, customer relationship management, and information technology (IT) related services. In addition, it offers managed IT outsourcing, Internet-based purchasing, IT consulting and professional, and bill printing and other related value-added services; provides full-service customer rewards and loyalty programs; and distributes Filipino channels and content services. Further, the company engages in the sale of mobile handsets, broadband data routers, tablets, and accessories; and cross-border digital platforms, and other allied services. Additionally, it provides gaming support services; internet services; mobile internet, broadband, and data services; content provider, and mobile applications; IT solutions; data and multimedia services; domestic leased lines; alternative messaging solutions, such as over-the-top services, social media, SMS, and chat applications; mobile prepaid and postpaid services; and fixed wireless broadband services. It serves residential, individuals, micro, small and medium enterprises, large corporations, and the public sector. The company was formerly known as Philippine Long Distance Telephone Company and changed its name to PLDT Inc. in July 2016. PLDT Inc. was incorporated in 1928 and is headquartered in Makati City, the Philippines.

Related stocks: TLK (PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia, Tb) · GLIBA (Liberty Capital Corporation - S) · VEON (VEON Ltd.) · SIFY (Sify Technologies Limited - Ame) · LILA (Liberty Latin America Ltd.)
Home Stocks PHI

Latest news

Latest News

The Lansing Journal10d ago
MarketBeat11d agoEarnings
Quiver Quantitative93d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance2d agoEarnings
Phi Delta Theta100d ago
Cincinnati Enquirer9d ago
TradingKey9d agoEarnings
Mshale7d ago
Newser.com96d ago
Pomona College103d ago
Ohio Wesleyan University99d ago
MarketBeat99d ago
KALB | News Channel 58d ago
Benzinga92d agoEarnings