Value
8.8/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/S | 9.2 |
| Fwd P/E | 8.1 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 7.5 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 14.8x
- ▸PEG: 0.09
- ▸Attractively valued
PAR · Why this verdict
Why PAR Technology (PAR) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
VerdictSELL
Overall score6.0/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
3.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 0.0 |
| ROA | 0.0 |
| Gross margin | 4.7 |
| Op margin | 0.0 |
| Net margin | 0.0 |
| Current ratio | 7.3 |
| FCF quality | 3.1 |
| Moat | 5.8 |
| Piotroski F | 6.7 |
- ▸FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 0%, FCF yield 0.2%)
Growth
8.7/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 7.4 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
Momentum
6.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 2.3 |
| MACD | 10.0 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 6.0 |
| Volume | 5.1 |
- ▸Overbought bear rally (RSI 80)
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -17.2%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
6.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 6.8 |
| Price target | 9.1 |
| erm sentiment | 3.0 |
- ▸Light analyst coverage (8.0) — signal dampened
- ▸Analyst upside: 39%
Insider
7.3/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 9.0 |
| insider conviction | 7.7 |
| holder change | 5.3 |
- ▸Heavy insider buying — $15,447,880 (1.966% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
3.9/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 8.2 |
| quality rank | 1.4 |
| growth rank | 6.3 |
Technical
0.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 0.0 |
| support resistance | 0.2 |
| 52w position | 0.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
2.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 0.5 |
| days to cover | 2.3 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| put call | 0.0 |
| implied vol | 0.0 |
| beta | 5.8 |
| debt equity | 7.9 |
- ▸High short interest justified: 30%
- ▸Elevated put/call: 5.86
- ▸High IV: 84%
Catalyst
7.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 3.5 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/0M
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Quality below minimum threshold.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCKPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:6.7>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:34d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- ASYMMETRY:1.4<1.5@spot
Warning (1)
- DEATH_CROSS:momentum=6.7>=5.0 recovering
Reward-to-Risk
1.40
Upside
+21.0%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRecovery — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 80
EdgeInst Constrain — Small cap ($0.8B) below institutional reach
SuitabilitySpeculative — Drawdown -74% (>40% off 52w high)
Investment implication
The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Value at 8.8 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: ASYMMETRY:1.4<1.5@spot.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 8.8, Growth at 8.7, and Insider at 7.3; the weakest are Technical at 0.1, Risk (lower is worse) at 2.4, and Quality at 3.1. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 1.40 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.