Value
7.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 7.8 |
| P/S | 8.4 |
| EV/EBITDA | 2.8 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.1 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 6.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 11.4x
- ▸PEG: 0.33
- ▸Attractively valued
OPRA · Why this verdict
Why Opera (OPRA) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score6.3/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Thesis pillars
| Pillar | Expectation | Trend |
|---|---|---|
Net margins of 18% and a strong Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate a high-quality business that generates meaningful profits relative to revenue. Quality breakdown | Net margin remains above 15% and the Piotroski score stays at 7 or above for the next 4 reported quarters. | →Stable |
| CounterA market capitalization below $2 billion limits institutional ownership and creates elevated volatility risk. | ||
A PEG ratio of 0.32 and forward price-to-earnings of 11.1x alongside 23% revenue growth positions the company as materially undervalued relative to its growth rate. Valuation breakdown | Revenue growth remains above 15% for at least 2 consecutive quarters and forward price-to-earnings expands above 14x as the market re-rates the growth. | →Stable |
| CounterOpera operates in internet content and information, a sector with low barriers to entry and platform-level competition from global technology giants. | ||
The company is identified as an industry growth leader with revenue growth of 23% year-over-year and a peer ranking among the top growth performers in its sector. Peer-rank breakdown | Revenue growth outpaces the median competitor in the internet content sector by at least 5 percentage points over the next 12 months. | →Stable |
| CounterGrowth leadership in internet content can erode rapidly if user engagement shifts to competing platforms or advertising spend cycles down. | ||
With an asymmetry ratio of 1.37 against a 1.5 minimum threshold, the current risk-reward falls just short of the bar required for a full position, indicating the stock needs a small pullback to be compelling. Warnings | Price declines to a level where asymmetry ratio rises above 1.5, implying entry below approximately $17. | →Stable |
| CounterAn asymmetry ratio of 1.37 is only marginally below threshold; a modest positive catalyst could push the ratio into acceptable territory without a meaningful pullback. | ||
Net margins of 18% and a strong Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate a high-quality business that generates meaningful profits relative to revenue.
→StableQuality breakdown
- Expectation
- Net margin remains above 15% and the Piotroski score stays at 7 or above for the next 4 reported quarters.
CounterA market capitalization below $2 billion limits institutional ownership and creates elevated volatility risk.
A PEG ratio of 0.32 and forward price-to-earnings of 11.1x alongside 23% revenue growth positions the company as materially undervalued relative to its growth rate.
→StableValuation breakdown
- Expectation
- Revenue growth remains above 15% for at least 2 consecutive quarters and forward price-to-earnings expands above 14x as the market re-rates the growth.
CounterOpera operates in internet content and information, a sector with low barriers to entry and platform-level competition from global technology giants.
The company is identified as an industry growth leader with revenue growth of 23% year-over-year and a peer ranking among the top growth performers in its sector.
→StablePeer-rank breakdown
- Expectation
- Revenue growth outpaces the median competitor in the internet content sector by at least 5 percentage points over the next 12 months.
CounterGrowth leadership in internet content can erode rapidly if user engagement shifts to competing platforms or advertising spend cycles down.
With an asymmetry ratio of 1.37 against a 1.5 minimum threshold, the current risk-reward falls just short of the bar required for a full position, indicating the stock needs a small pullback to be compelling.
→StableWarnings
- Expectation
- Price declines to a level where asymmetry ratio rises above 1.5, implying entry below approximately $17.
CounterAn asymmetry ratio of 1.37 is only marginally below threshold; a modest positive catalyst could push the ratio into acceptable territory without a meaningful pullback.
TrendMatrix Research · core thesis
Engine thesis — one sentence
Opera Limited combines strong revenue growth of 23% with an attractive forward price-to-earnings of 11.1x and a PEG of 0.32, making it a compelling value-growth case, though technical signals remain mixed and the asymmetry ratio sits just below the minimum threshold.
Falsifiable statement — pillar-level invalidators below. Engine-derived; not personalized advice.
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
6.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 4.0 |
| ROA | 3.8 |
| Gross margin | 6.2 |
| Op margin | 6.9 |
| Net margin | 8.9 |
| Current ratio | 6.6 |
| FCF quality | 7.6 |
| Moat | 6.4 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Strong margins: 18%
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
Growth
8.7/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 8.3 |
| EPS growth | 9.0 |
- ▸Strong growth: 23% YoY
Momentum
6.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.4 |
| MACD | 9.3 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 9.0 |
| Volume | 1.3 |
- ▸Overbought (RSI 71)
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
6.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 8.7 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 32%
Insider
3.3/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 3.0 |
| insider conviction | 2.0 |
| holder change | 5.0 |
- ▸Notable insider selling — $2,611,232 (0.147% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
6.3/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 4.1 |
| quality rank | 6.5 |
| growth rank | 8.9 |
- ▸Industry growth leader
Technical
3.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 1.0 |
| support resistance | 1.2 |
| 52w position | 9.4 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 6.4 |
| days to cover | 4.4 |
| volatility | 2.8 |
| put call | 10.0 |
| implied vol | 3.7 |
| debt equity | 5.6 |
Catalyst
3.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 1.1 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 0.5 |
| dividend safety | 5.0 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 1B/2M
- ▸Dividend: 402.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier -1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING).
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_HOLD|L3:NEWS_MOD=-1Passed (7)
- MOMENTUM:6.8>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:46d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- ASYMMETRY:1.1<1.5@spot
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
1.09
Upside
+14.9%
Downside
13.7%
Sizing output
AVOID
Setup— — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeInst Constrain — Small cap ($1.8B) below institutional reach
SuitabilityAggressive — MCap $1.8B<$5B
Investment implication
None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: MOMENTUM:6.8>=5.5. Top dim: Growth at 8.7; weakest: Catalyst at 3.3. No conviction either direction.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 8.7, Value at 7.6, and Momentum at 6.8; the weakest are Catalyst at 3.3, Insider at 3.3, and Technical at 3.9. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 1.09 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.
What would invalidate the thesis
Falsifying conditions — when triggered, the corresponding pillar's thesis is invalidated.
- P1Value Growth Combination
Trip ifRevenue growth falls below 10% for 2 consecutive quarters.
- P2Industry Growth Leadership
Trip ifRevenue growth falls below the median sector peer rate for 2 consecutive quarters.
- P3Strong Margins Quality
Trip ifNet margin drops below 12% for any reported quarter.
- P4Asymmetry Gap Barrier
Trip ifPrice rises above $21 without a corresponding analyst target increase, pushing asymmetry ratio further below 1.0.