NexPoint Residential Trust (NXRT) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- -$0.45
- Estimate
- -$0.41
- Surprise
- -7.3%
- Score today
- 5.2/10
Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.
How the report landed
NexPoint Residential Trust (NXRT) reported a wider loss than forecast — adjusted EPS of -$0.45 against the -$0.41 estimate (a 7.3% shortfall).
Coverage in the report window
- NexPoint Residential Trust Announces $150 Million Share Repurchase Authorization — fiscal.ai, 2026-11-03
- NexPoint Residential Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript — benzinga, 2026-11-03
- NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. Reports Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results — fiscal.ai, 2026-11-03
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates NXRT Sell at 5.2/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -7.3% surprise compares with a +11.3% four-quarter average.
What supports the rating
- Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
- Attractive valuation
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Counterparty: BH Management Services
- Concentration risk — Counterparty: the Adviser
- V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $16.48
- Price target
- $21.46
- Stop
- $15.74
- Upside to target
- +30.2%
- Reward-to-risk
- 3.4:1
Risk check: trading volume is running 3.4× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-04 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
NXRT at TrendMatrix's latest read
REIT quarters hinge on occupancy, rate exposure, and FFO rather than headline EPS, which mechanically distorts under depreciation.
- Industry
- REIT - Residential
- Market cap
- $850.4M
- P/E (fwd)
- -7.5
- 52-week range
- $16.23–$32.36
- Off 52-week high
- 49.1%
- RSI (14)
- 36
- Volume vs avg
- 3.42×
- Score today
- 5.2/10