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NTRNutrien Ltd.Sell5.1·$79.48-1.55%

Nutrien (NTR) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

MISS-3.9% vs estimateEPS $2.61 vs $2.72 estVerdict Buy (Wait)Sell

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure

Event detail · Q2 2026

Key numbers

Reported EPS
$2.61
Estimate
$2.72
Surprise
-3.9%
Score at report (before → after)
6.15.8/10

Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.

Report record · Q2 2026

How the report landed

Nutrien (NTR) missed the $2.72 estimate with diluted EPS of $2.61 — a clear 3.9% shortfall. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (6.1/10) to Sell at 5.8/10 after the report.

Current read · as of 2026-09-04

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates NTR Sell at 5.1/10.

1 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -3.9% surprise compares with a -4.7% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-04.

What argues against it

  • Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
  • V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8)
  • Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$79.48
Price target
$91.45
Stop
$74.80
Upside to target
+15.1%

At 16.3× trailing and 16.5× forward earnings, consensus estimates imply little change in earnings power.

Risk check: RSI 79 — a level conventionally read as overbought; gains at these levels often lean on momentum.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-04 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Basic Materials context

NTR at TrendMatrix's latest read

Materials producers report against the commodity cycle — realized-price capture and volume, not the EPS line, are the tells in a quarter like this.

Industry
Agricultural Inputs
Market cap
$38.53B
P/E (fwd)
16.5
P/E (ttm)
16.3
52-week range
$53.03$85.36
Off 52-week high
6.9%
RSI (14)
79
Volume vs avg
0.42×
Score today
5.1/10

Earnings figures are sourced from TrendMatrix’s pipeline (EPS: existing earnings extraction; revenue: SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise). Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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