NAPCO Security Technologies, In (NSSC) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.50
- Estimate
- $0.38
- Surprise
- +31.6%
- Revenue (period 2026-06-30)
- $55.8M
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.8 → 5.9/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
NAPCO Security Technologies, In (NSSC) beat the $0.38 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.50 — a large 31.6% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (5.8/10) to Hold at 5.9/10 after the report.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates NSSC Buy (Wait) at 6.5/10.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +31.6% surprise compares with a +16.4% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-02.
What supports the rating
- V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.9 in RISK_OFF)
- Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
What argues against it
- Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
- Negative momentum
- Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $35.02
- Entry target
- $34.00
- Price target
- $44.08
- Stop
- $32.24
- Upside to target
- +25.9%
- Reward-to-risk
- 5.2:1
The stock trades at 30.1× trailing but 20.0× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-15 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
NSSC at TrendMatrix's latest read
Industrial quarters are order-book stories — backlog and book-to-bill color how the market reads the reported number.
- Industry
- Security & Protection Services
- Market cap
- $1.29B
- P/E (fwd)
- 20.0
- P/E (ttm)
- 30.1
- 52-week range
- $33.91–$51.77
- Off 52-week high
- 32.4%
- RSI (14)
- 44
- Volume vs avg
- 0.82×
- Score today
- 6.5/10