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NNINelnet, Inc.Sell5.3·$127.17-0.08%

Nelnet (NNI) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

MISS-16.9% vs estimateEPS $1.77 vs $2.13 estVerdict Buy (Wait)Sell

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure

Event detail · Q2 2026

Key numbers

Reported EPS
$1.77
Estimate
$2.13
Surprise
-16.9%
Revenue (period 2026-06-30)
$204.9M
Score at report (before → after)
5.45.4/10

Revenue source: xbrl.

Report record · Q2 2026

How the report landed

Nelnet (NNI) missed the $2.13 estimate with diluted EPS of $1.77 — a large 16.9% shortfall. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (5.4/10) to Sell at 5.4/10 after the report.

Current read · as of 2026-09-04

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates NNI Sell at 5.3/10.

1 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -16.9% surprise compares with a +11.5% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-05.

What supports the rating

  • Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
  • Attractive valuation

What argues against it

  • Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
  • Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0
  • Consecutive earnings misses (3)

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$127.17
Price target
$146.33
Stop
$123.02
Upside to target
+15.1%

At 15.2× trailing and 13.3× forward earnings, consensus estimates imply little change in earnings power.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-04 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Financial Services context

NNI at TrendMatrix's latest read

For financials, the EPS print is only half the story: credit costs, reserve builds, and rate sensitivity decide how a quarter actually lands.

Industry
Credit Services
Market cap
$4.55B
P/E (fwd)
13.3
P/E (ttm)
15.2
52-week range
$116.62$144.38
Off 52-week high
11.9%
RSI (14)
60
Volume vs avg
0.59×
Score today
5.3/10

Earnings figures are sourced from TrendMatrix’s pipeline (EPS: existing earnings extraction; revenue: SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise). Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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