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NMIHNMI Holdings IncBuy Wait6.0·$45.39+1.84%

NMI Holdings (NMIH) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

BEAT+7.1% vs estimateEPS $1.38 vs $1.29 estVerdict HoldBuy (Wait)

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure

Event detail · Q2 2026

Key numbers

Reported EPS
$1.38
Estimate
$1.29
Surprise
+7.1%
Revenue (period 2026-06-30)
$187.9M
Score at report (before → after)
6.16.2/10

Revenue source: xbrl.

Report record · Q2 2026

How the report landed

NMI Holdings (NMIH) beat the $1.29 estimate with diluted EPS of $1.38 — a clear 7.1% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Hold (6.1/10) to Buy (Wait) at 6.2/10 after the report.

Current read · as of 2026-09-04

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates NMIH Buy (Wait) at 6.0/10.

3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +7.1% surprise compares with a +3.2% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-03.

What supports the rating

  • V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.1 in RISK_OFF)
  • Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0

What argues against it

  • Concentration risk — Regulatory: Wisconsin OCI
  • Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
  • Near 52-week high (2.9% away)

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$45.39
Entry target
$40.96
Price target
$52.20
Stop
$39.53
Upside to target
+15.0%

At 8.7× trailing and 8.2× forward earnings, consensus estimates imply little change in earnings power.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-04 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Financial Services context

NMIH at TrendMatrix's latest read

For financials, the EPS print is only half the story: credit costs, reserve builds, and rate sensitivity decide how a quarter actually lands.

Industry
Insurance - Specialty
Market cap
$3.35B
P/E (fwd)
8.2
P/E (ttm)
8.7
52-week range
$34.84$46.74
Off 52-week high
2.9%
RSI (14)
45
Volume vs avg
0.95×
Score today
6.0/10

Earnings figures are sourced from TrendMatrix’s pipeline (EPS: existing earnings extraction; revenue: SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise). Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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