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NMGNouveau Monde Graphite Inc.Sell5.0·$1.60+4.62%
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Nouveau Monde Graphite Inc. (NMG) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $1.60: Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 9.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Nouveau Monde Graphite Inc. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and evaluation of mineral properties in Quebec, Canada. It primarily explores for graphite. The company's flagship property is the 100% owned Matawinie graphite property including 176 mining claims... Read more

$1.60+142.9% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#20 of 35 Other Industrial Metals & Mining
QualityF-score2 / 9FCF yield0.32%
Stop $1.50Target $3.91(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 9.6:1
Analyst target$4.59+187.2%4 analysts
$3.91our TP
$1.60price
$4.59mean
$6

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $1.60: Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 9.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 39d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 12, 202639d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-14.5
Mkt Cap$530M
EV/EBITDA-4.4
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-87.4%
Rev Growth
Beta0.93
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Piotroski F
2.2
Current Ratio
3.0
Moat
4.8
No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Value Rank
5.0
Growth Rank
5.0

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Bollinger
2.3
Support Resistance
4.4
Gap
5.0
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.3>=5.5A.R:R 9.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 39d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $1.37Resistance $1.80

Price Targets

$2
$4
A.Upside+144.4%
A.R:R9.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-12 (39d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NMG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $1.60: Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 9.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60. Prior stop was $1.50. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NMG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $3.91 (+142.9% upside). Prior stop was $1.50. Stop-loss: $1.50.

What are the risks of investing in NMG?

Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0).

Is NMG overvalued or undervalued?

Nouveau Monde Graphite Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -14.5). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NMG?

9 analysts cover NMG with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $5.

What does Nouveau Monde Graphite Inc. do?Nouveau Monde Graphite Inc. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and evaluation of mineral properties...

Nouveau Monde Graphite Inc. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and evaluation of mineral properties in Quebec, Canada. It primarily explores for graphite. The company's flagship property is the 100% owned Matawinie graphite property including 176 mining claims covering an area of 9,264 hectares located in Quebec. It also involved in the real estate and trading activities, as well as active anode material operations. The company was formerly known as Nouveau Monde Mining Enterprises Inc. and changed its name to Nouveau Monde Graphite Inc. in February 2017. The company was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Saint-Michel-Des-Saints, Canada.

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