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NBIXNeurocrine Biosciences, Inc.Buy Wait7.3·$157.70-0.41%

Neurocrine Biosciences (NBIX) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

BEAT+45.4% vs estimateEPS $2.85 vs $1.96 estVerdict Buy (Wait)Hold

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure

Event detail · Q2 2026

Key numbers

Reported EPS
$2.85
Estimate
$1.96
Surprise
+45.4%
Revenue (period 2026-06-30)
$959.0M
Score at report (before → after)
7.27.2/10

Revenue source: xbrl.

Report record · Q2 2026

How the report landed

Neurocrine Biosciences (NBIX) beat the $1.96 estimate with diluted EPS of $2.85 — a large 45.4% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (7.2/10) to Hold at 7.2/10 after the report.

Current read · as of 2026-09-04

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates NBIX Buy (Wait) at 7.3/10.

3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +45.4% surprise compares with a +11.6% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-10-28.

What supports the rating

  • V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.3 in RISK_OFF)
  • Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5

What argues against it

  • Concentration risk — Product: INGREZZA
  • News modifier capped: WAIT cannot upgrade to NOW via sentiment alone

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$157.70
Entry target
$152.16
Price target
$190.41
Stop
$144.97
Upside to target
+20.7%
Reward-to-risk
3.4:1

The stock trades at 23.1× trailing but 13.2× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-04 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Healthcare context

NBIX at TrendMatrix's latest read

Healthcare earnings trade on pipeline and payer dynamics as much as the quarter itself; a beat or miss is weighed against trial and reimbursement news.

Industry
Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
Market cap
$16.10B
P/E (fwd)
13.2
P/E (ttm)
23.1
52-week range
$122.14$186.12
Off 52-week high
15.3%
RSI (14)
66
Volume vs avg
0.66×
Score today
7.3/10

Earnings figures are sourced from TrendMatrix’s pipeline (EPS: existing earnings extraction; revenue: SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise). Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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