NAC · Why this verdict
Why NAC (NAC) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score5.4/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
7.7/10data confidence 86%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Gross margin | 10.0 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 10.0 |
| Current ratio | 5.3 |
| Moat | 5.5 |
| Piotroski F | 5.6 |
- ▸Strong margins: 56%
- ▸High-quality business
Growth
2.4/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 2.4 |
- ▸Declining revenue: -0%
Momentum
2.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.0 |
| MACD | 3.4 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 2.2 |
| Volume | 3.3 |
- ▸Capitulation risk (RSI 26, below 200MA)
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.7%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
Sentiment
5.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
Insider
6.3/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 4.5 |
| holder change | 7.3 |
| notable moves | 7.0 |
- ▸Share-count fallback (no $ value): net +0 shares
Peer rank
5.2/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 5.0 |
| quality rank | 7.7 |
| growth rank | 4.3 |
Technical
9.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 9.8 |
| support resistance | 8.3 |
| 52w position | 9.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
9.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 9.7 |
| days to cover | 8.5 |
| volatility | 10.0 |
| beta | 9.7 |
| debt equity | 7.1 |
Catalyst
6.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| dividend safety | 7.0 |
- ▸Dividend: 7.3%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Maintain position. Not compelling to add more.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_HOLDPassed (6)
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:NO_DATE
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- MOMENTUM:2.6<4.5
Warning (1)
- ASYMMETRY:UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)
Reward-to-Risk
0.00
Upside
+0.0%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
Setup— — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeTemporary headwind — High quality (7.7) with weak momentum (2.6)
SuitabilityModerate — Balanced profile
Investment implication
None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: INSIDER:OK. Top dim: Technical at 9.0; weakest: Growth at 2.4. No conviction either direction.
The strongest dimensions are Technical at 9.0, Risk (lower is worse) at 9.0, and Quality at 7.7; the weakest are Growth at 2.4, Momentum at 2.6, and Sentiment at 5.0. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.00 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.