Value
4.9/10data confidence 40%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 8.7 |
| P/S | 1.1 |
MYI · Why this verdict
Why Blackrock MuniYield Quality Fun (MYI) is rated HOLD
Updated
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score6.2/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
TrendMatrix Research · core thesis
Engine thesis — one sentence
BlackRock MuniYield Quality Fund trades attractively and is in a technical breakout, but calculated upside is exhausted and the fund fails the Rule of 40 test.
Falsifiable statement — pillar-level invalidators below. Engine-derived; not personalized advice.
Thesis pillars
| Pillar | Expectation | Trend |
|---|---|---|
The fund trades at an extremely low PEG ratio near 0.00, signaling a deep valuation discount. Valuation breakdown | The value score should stay above 6.0 as the discount persists. | ↓Deteriorating |
| CounterThe fund is trading near its 52-week high, suggesting the cheap PEG may already be reflected in a recent price run-up rather than signaling further room to re-rate. | ||
The engine calculates that upside is fully exhausted at current prices. Gates warning | Upside percentage should move back above 3% as a new entry opportunity develops. | ↑Improving |
| CounterStrong momentum, including rising volume accumulation and price above the 200-day moving average, suggests price could continue higher even without a calculated valuation-based upside buffer. | ||
The fund fails the Rule of 40 test, scoring well below the pass threshold of 40. Quality breakdown | The Rule of 40 score should rise above 40 within the next 4 quarters. | ↑Improving |
| CounterA strong Piotroski F-Score and strong margins suggest underlying quality remains solid despite the Rule of 40 shortfall. | ||
The fund is in a technical breakout, trading above its 200-day moving average with a golden-cross pattern. Momentum breakdown | Momentum score should stay above 5.5 as the breakout continues. | ↑Improving |
| CounterTrading near 52-week highs with fully exhausted calculated upside argues the breakout may already be running out of room. | ||
The fund trades at an extremely low PEG ratio near 0.00, signaling a deep valuation discount.
↓DeterioratingValuation breakdown
- Expectation
- The value score should stay above 6.0 as the discount persists.
CounterThe fund is trading near its 52-week high, suggesting the cheap PEG may already be reflected in a recent price run-up rather than signaling further room to re-rate.
The engine calculates that upside is fully exhausted at current prices.
↑ImprovingGates warning
- Expectation
- Upside percentage should move back above 3% as a new entry opportunity develops.
CounterStrong momentum, including rising volume accumulation and price above the 200-day moving average, suggests price could continue higher even without a calculated valuation-based upside buffer.
The fund fails the Rule of 40 test, scoring well below the pass threshold of 40.
↑ImprovingQuality breakdown
- Expectation
- The Rule of 40 score should rise above 40 within the next 4 quarters.
CounterA strong Piotroski F-Score and strong margins suggest underlying quality remains solid despite the Rule of 40 shortfall.
The fund is in a technical breakout, trading above its 200-day moving average with a golden-cross pattern.
↑ImprovingMomentum breakdown
- Expectation
- Momentum score should stay above 5.5 as the breakout continues.
CounterTrading near 52-week highs with fully exhausted calculated upside argues the breakout may already be running out of room.
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
5.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 1.7 |
| ROA | 1.7 |
| Gross margin | 10.0 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 10.0 |
| Current ratio | 0.3 |
| FCF quality | 0.0 |
| Moat | 7.1 |
| Rule of 40 | 9.5 |
| Piotroski F | 6.7 |
- ▸Strong margins: 64%
- ▸Earnings quality RED FLAG: -0% FCF/NI
- ▸Rule of 40: 83 (elite)
Growth
10.0/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong growth: 83% YoY
Momentum
6.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.5 |
| MACD | 6.3 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 1.5 |
| Volume | 7.5 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope flat
Sentiment
5.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
Insider
3.7/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 3.0 |
| notable moves | 3.0 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
5.5/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 3.9 |
| quality rank | 5.4 |
| growth rank | 9.6 |
- ▸Best-in-class margins
- ▸Industry growth leader
Technical
7.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 6.7 |
| support resistance | 7.5 |
| 52w position | 7.4 |
Risk (lower is worse)
8.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 9.9 |
| days to cover | 10.0 |
| volatility | 7.5 |
| beta | 9.1 |
| debt equity | 6.8 |
Catalyst
5.2/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| dividend safety | 5.3 |
- ▸Yield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Maintain position. Not compelling to add more.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_HOLDPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:6.0>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:NO_DATE
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (0)
none
Warning (2)
- ASYMMETRY:UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)
- DEATH_CROSS:momentum=6.0>=5.0 recovering
Reward-to-Risk
0.00
Upside
+0.0%
Downside
5.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRecovery — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 41
EdgeNo clear edge — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAggressive — MCap $1.2B<$5B
Investment implication
None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: MOMENTUM:6.0>=5.5. Top dim: Growth at 10.0; weakest: Insider at 3.7. No conviction either direction.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 10.0, Risk (lower is worse) at 8.7, and Technical at 7.2; the weakest are Insider at 3.7, Value at 4.9, and Sentiment at 5.0. The V9 engine cleared all gates with 2 warnings, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.00 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.
What would invalidate the thesis
Falsifying conditions — when triggered, the corresponding pillar's thesis is invalidated.
- P1Attractive Fund Valuation
Trip ifValue score falls below 5.0 within 2 consecutive quarters.
- P2Upside Exhausted Asymmetry
Trip ifUpside percentage rises above 3% from the current 0.0% exhausted level.
- P3Rule Of Forty Failure
Trip ifRule of 40 score rises above 40, the pass threshold, within the next 4 quarters.
- P4Technical Breakout Momentum
Trip ifMomentum score falls below 5.0 within the next 2 quarters.