Value
7.3/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 4.5 |
| P/S | 2.2 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
- ▸PEG: 0.00
- ▸Attractively valued
MYI · Why this verdict
Why Blackrock MuniYield Quality Fun (MYI) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score5.7/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
TrendMatrix Research · core thesis
Engine thesis — one sentence
BlackRock MuniYield Quality Fund trades attractively and is in a technical breakout, but calculated upside is exhausted and the fund fails the Rule of 40 test.
Falsifiable statement — pillar-level invalidators below. Engine-derived; not personalized advice.
Thesis pillars
| Pillar | Expectation | Trend |
|---|---|---|
The fund trades at an extremely low PEG ratio near 0.00, signaling a deep valuation discount. Valuation breakdown | The value score should stay above 6.0 as the discount persists. | →Stable |
| CounterThe fund is trading near its 52-week high, suggesting the cheap PEG may already be reflected in a recent price run-up rather than signaling further room to re-rate. | ||
The engine calculates that upside is fully exhausted at current prices. Gates warning | Upside percentage should move back above 3% as a new entry opportunity develops. | →Stable |
| CounterStrong momentum, including rising volume accumulation and price above the 200-day moving average, suggests price could continue higher even without a calculated valuation-based upside buffer. | ||
The fund fails the Rule of 40 test, scoring well below the pass threshold of 40. Quality breakdown | The Rule of 40 score should rise above 40 within the next 4 quarters. | →Stable |
| CounterA strong Piotroski F-Score and strong margins suggest underlying quality remains solid despite the Rule of 40 shortfall. | ||
The fund is in a technical breakout, trading above its 200-day moving average with a golden-cross pattern. Momentum breakdown | Momentum score should stay above 5.5 as the breakout continues. | ↓Deteriorating |
| CounterTrading near 52-week highs with fully exhausted calculated upside argues the breakout may already be running out of room. | ||
The fund trades at an extremely low PEG ratio near 0.00, signaling a deep valuation discount.
→StableValuation breakdown
- Expectation
- The value score should stay above 6.0 as the discount persists.
CounterThe fund is trading near its 52-week high, suggesting the cheap PEG may already be reflected in a recent price run-up rather than signaling further room to re-rate.
The engine calculates that upside is fully exhausted at current prices.
→StableGates warning
- Expectation
- Upside percentage should move back above 3% as a new entry opportunity develops.
CounterStrong momentum, including rising volume accumulation and price above the 200-day moving average, suggests price could continue higher even without a calculated valuation-based upside buffer.
The fund fails the Rule of 40 test, scoring well below the pass threshold of 40.
→StableQuality breakdown
- Expectation
- The Rule of 40 score should rise above 40 within the next 4 quarters.
CounterA strong Piotroski F-Score and strong margins suggest underlying quality remains solid despite the Rule of 40 shortfall.
The fund is in a technical breakout, trading above its 200-day moving average with a golden-cross pattern.
↓DeterioratingMomentum breakdown
- Expectation
- Momentum score should stay above 5.5 as the breakout continues.
CounterTrading near 52-week highs with fully exhausted calculated upside argues the breakout may already be running out of room.
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
5.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 1.0 |
| ROA | 1.7 |
| Gross margin | 10.0 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 10.0 |
| Current ratio | 0.3 |
| FCF quality | 3.1 |
| Moat | 6.5 |
| Rule of 40 | 3.0 |
| Piotroski F | 7.8 |
- ▸Strong margins: 40%
- ▸Earnings quality RED FLAG: 39% FCF/NI
- ▸Rule of 40: 22 (fail)
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
Growth
4.1/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 4.1 |
Momentum
3.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 8.5 |
| MACD | 3.7 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 6.0 |
| Volume | 0.0 |
- ▸Uptrend pullback (RSI 30) - buy opportunity
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
5.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
Insider
7.3/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 10.0 |
| notable moves | 7.0 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
- ▸Institutions accumulating
Peer rank
4.3/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 3.2 |
| quality rank | 4.4 |
| growth rank | 6.5 |
Technical
8.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 7.7 |
| support resistance | 8.6 |
| 52w position | 9.6 |
Risk (lower is worse)
9.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 9.9 |
| days to cover | 10.0 |
| volatility | 10.0 |
| beta | 9.3 |
| debt equity | 6.8 |
Catalyst
4.5/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| dividend safety | 4.0 |
- ▸Yield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Maintain position. Not compelling to add more.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_HOLDPassed (6)
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:NO_DATE
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- MOMENTUM:3.8<4.5
Warning (1)
- ASYMMETRY:UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)
Reward-to-Risk
0.00
Upside
+0.0%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
Setup— — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeInst Constrain — Small cap ($0.7B) below institutional reach
SuitabilityAggressive — MCap $0.7B<$5B
Investment implication
None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: INSIDER:OK. Top dim: Risk (lower is worse) at 9.2; weakest: Momentum at 3.8. No conviction either direction.
The strongest dimensions are Risk (lower is worse) at 9.2, Technical at 8.6, and Value at 7.3; the weakest are Momentum at 3.8, Growth at 4.1, and Peer rank at 4.3. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.00 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.
What would invalidate the thesis
Falsifying conditions — when triggered, the corresponding pillar's thesis is invalidated.
- P1Attractive Fund Valuation
Trip ifValue score falls below 5.0 within 2 consecutive quarters.
- P2Upside Exhausted Asymmetry
Trip ifUpside percentage rises above 3% from the current 0.0% exhausted level.
- P3Rule Of Forty Failure
Trip ifRule of 40 score rises above 40, the pass threshold, within the next 4 quarters.
- P4Technical Breakout Momentum
Trip ifMomentum score falls below 5.0 within the next 2 quarters.