Meritage Homes (MTH) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $1.11
- Estimate
- $1.14
- Surprise
- -2.5%
- Score today
- 4.8/10
Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.
How the report landed
Meritage Homes (MTH) missed the $1.14 estimate with adjusted EPS of $1.11 — a modest 2.5% shortfall.
Coverage in the report window
- Meritage Homes Corporation Reports Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results — fiscal.ai, 2026-10-28
- 10 Consumer Discretionary Stocks Moving In Wednesday's After-Market Session — benzinga, 2026-10-28
- Meritage Homes Q3 Adj. EPS $1.11 Misses $1.18 Estimate, Sales $1.168B Miss $1.305B Estimate — benzinga, 2026-10-28
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates MTH Sell at 4.8/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.
1 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -2.5% surprise compares with a -6.5% four-quarter average.
What argues against it
- Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
- Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -73.7%), High leverage (D/E 6.1)
- Reward/Risk 0.4:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $62.02
- Price target
- $64.38
- Stop
- $57.68
- Upside to target
- +3.8%
- Reward-to-risk
- 0.4:1
At 12.9× trailing and 11.3× forward earnings, consensus estimates imply little change in earnings power.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-29 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
MTH at TrendMatrix's latest read
Cyclical consumer names live and die on demand momentum — same-quarter comps and guidance carry more weight than the headline surprise.
- Industry
- Residential Construction
- Market cap
- $4.04B
- P/E (fwd)
- 11.3
- P/E (ttm)
- 12.9
- 52-week range
- $56.66–$85.38
- Off 52-week high
- 27.4%
- RSI (14)
- 54
- Volume vs avg
- 1.26×
- Score today
- 4.8/10