MGIC Investment (MTG) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.85
- Estimate
- $0.82
- Surprise
- +4.1%
- Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
- $299.1M
- Score today
- 5.4/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
MGIC Investment (MTG) beat the $0.82 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.85 — a clear 4.1% upside surprise.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates MTG Hold at 5.4/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +4.1% surprise compares with a +5.3% four-quarter average.
What supports the rating
- V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.7 in RISK_OFF)
- Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
What argues against it
- Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
- Weak growth
- Under M&A bid - upside capped at deal spread, deal failure risk
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $29.13
- Stop
- $27.75
At 9.1× trailing and 8.5× forward earnings, consensus estimates imply little change in earnings power.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-05 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
MTG at TrendMatrix's latest read
For financials, the EPS print is only half the story: credit costs, reserve builds, and rate sensitivity decide how a quarter actually lands.
- Industry
- Insurance - Specialty
- Market cap
- $5.98B
- P/E (fwd)
- 8.5
- P/E (ttm)
- 9.1
- 52-week range
- $24.69–$31.89
- Off 52-week high
- 8.7%
- RSI (14)
- 63
- Volume vs avg
- 1.06×
- Score today
- 5.4/10