Matador Resources (MTDR) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Reported EPS
- $2.61
- Estimate
- $2.09
- Surprise
- +24.6%
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.2 → 5.3/10
Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.
How the report landed
Matador Resources (MTDR) beat the $2.09 estimate with diluted EPS of $2.61 — a large 24.6% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (5.2/10) to Hold at 5.3/10 after the report.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates MTDR Buy (Wait) at 6.8/10.
4 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +24.6% surprise compares with a +18.0% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-10-27.
What supports the rating
- Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
- Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Geographic: Delaware Basin (99.0%)
- Concentration risk — Commodity: oil production (58.0%)
- Thin upside margin: 4.6%
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $59.06
- Entry target
- $52.31
- Price target
- $61.82
- Stop
- $49.01
- Upside to target
- +4.7%
- Reward-to-risk
- 0.3:1
The stock trades at 10.2× trailing but 6.9× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-04 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
MTDR at TrendMatrix's latest read
Energy results are commodity-price arithmetic first; the operational beat or miss is read net of what the strip already told the market.
- Industry
- Oil & Gas E&P
- Market cap
- $7.39B
- P/E (fwd)
- 6.9
- P/E (ttm)
- 10.2
- 52-week range
- $37.14–$66.84
- Off 52-week high
- 11.6%
- RSI (14)
- 64
- Volume vs avg
- 0.09×
- Score today
- 6.8/10