Value
6.4/10data confidence 83%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/S | 7.7 |
| EV/EBITDA | 0.0 |
| Fwd P/E | 5.4 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 9.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 23.5x
- ▸PEG: 0.06
MNKD · Why this verdict
Why MannKind (MNKD) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.6/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
5.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROA | 1.4 |
| Gross margin | 10.0 |
| Op margin | 0.0 |
| Net margin | 0.0 |
| Current ratio | 6.6 |
| FCF quality | 6.1 |
| Moat | 7.0 |
| Rule of 40 | 5.5 |
| Piotroski F | 10.0 |
- ▸FCF-positive despite GAAP loss (FCF margin 13%, FCF yield 3.4%)
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 9/9
Growth
6.3/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 6.3 |
Momentum
7.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.5 |
| MACD | 7.2 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 8.0 |
| Volume | 8.9 |
- ▸Overbought (RSI 70)
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Above 200-MA but MA slope flat
Sentiment
6.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 9.8 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 68%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Negligible insider selling — $65,711 (0.005% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
5.8/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 8.6 |
| quality rank | 4.1 |
| growth rank | 5.3 |
Technical
2.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 0.0 |
| support resistance | 0.2 |
| 52w position | 3.9 |
| gap | 5.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
4.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 4.9 |
| days to cover | 4.5 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| put call | 10.0 |
| implied vol | 0.0 |
| beta | 6.7 |
- ▸High IV: 143%
Catalyst
2.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 0.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 0.0 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier -1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING).
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_HOLD|L3:NEWS_MOD=-1Passed (8)
- MOMENTUM:7.7>=5.5
- ASYMMETRY:3.1>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:32d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (0)
none
Warning (1)
- DEATH_CROSS:momentum=7.7>=5.0 recovering
Reward-to-Risk
3.08
Upside
+46.2%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRecovery — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 70
EdgeNo clear edge — No clear edge identified
SuitabilitySpeculative — Binary industry: Biotechnology
Investment implication
None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: MOMENTUM:7.7>=5.5. Top dim: Momentum at 7.7; weakest: Technical at 2.3. No conviction either direction.
The strongest dimensions are Momentum at 7.7, Sentiment at 6.6, and Value at 6.4; the weakest are Technical at 2.3, Catalyst at 2.5, and Risk (lower is worse) at 4.4. The V9 engine cleared all gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 3.08 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.