Maximus (MMS) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Reported EPS
- $2.22
- Estimate
- $2.21
- Surprise
- +0.7%
- Revenue (period 2026-06-30)
- $1.28B
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.8 → 5.5/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Maximus (MMS) beat the $2.21 estimate with diluted EPS of $2.22 — a modest 0.7% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (5.8/10) to Hold at 5.5/10 after the report — the engine's score fell despite the beat.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates MMS Sell at 5.1/10.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +0.7% surprise compares with a +1.2% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-19.
What supports the rating
- Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
- Attractive valuation
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. federal government (55.0%)
- Concentration risk — Customer: ten largest contracts (60.0%)
- V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $58.09
- Price target
- $78.62
- Stop
- $55.37
- Upside to target
- +35.3%
- Reward-to-risk
- 3.8:1
The stock trades at 8.5× trailing but 7.0× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-04 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
MMS at TrendMatrix's latest read
Industrial quarters are order-book stories — backlog and book-to-bill color how the market reads the reported number.
- Industry
- Specialty Business Services
- Market cap
- $3.06B
- P/E (fwd)
- 7.0
- P/E (ttm)
- 8.5
- 52-week range
- $52.73–$100.00
- Off 52-week high
- 41.9%
- RSI (14)
- 65
- Volume vs avg
- 0.79×
- Score today
- 5.1/10