Monarch Casino & Resort (MCRI) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $1.82
- Estimate
- $1.80
- Surprise
- +1.3%
- Score at report (before → after)
- 6.1 → 6.0/10
Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.
How the report landed
Monarch Casino & Resort (MCRI) beat the $1.80 estimate with adjusted EPS of $1.82 — a modest 1.3% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (6.1/10) to Sell at 6.0/10 after the report — the engine's score fell despite the beat.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates MCRI Sell at 6.0/10.
4 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +1.3% surprise compares with a +13.8% four-quarter average.
What supports the rating
- V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=8.0 in RISK_OFF)
- Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
What argues against it
- Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
- Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
- Target reached (-5.2% upside)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $115.28
- Stop
- $110.68
At 18.5× trailing and 16.7× forward earnings, consensus estimates imply little change in earnings power.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-28 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
MCRI at TrendMatrix's latest read
Cyclical consumer names live and die on demand momentum — same-quarter comps and guidance carry more weight than the headline surprise.
- Industry
- Resorts & Casinos
- Market cap
- $2.07B
- P/E (fwd)
- 16.7
- P/E (ttm)
- 18.5
- 52-week range
- $88.13–$135.93
- Off 52-week high
- 15.2%
- RSI (14)
- 41
- Volume vs avg
- 0.95×
- Score today
- 6.0/10